12-144 Hollingsworth v. Perry
Question presented:
Whether the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment prohibits the State of California from defining marriage as the union of a man and a woman.
In addition to the questions presented by the petition, the parties are directed to brief and argue the following question:
Whether petitioners have standing under Article III, Section 2 of the Constitution in this case.
There are two pretty big questions the supreme court is entertaining today (and we are ignoring for the moment the DOMA question to be argued tomorrow).
First, does the fourteenth amendment to the US constitution, which reads in part, "No State shall make or enforce any law which shall ... deny to any person within its jurisdiction the equal protection of the laws." Note that this amendment discusses "life, liberty, and property" but the petition being discussed today only talks about the equal protection under the law.
Second, does the United States Constitution trump California's constitution in this case. The judicial power of the United States Government, as outlined in the US constitution, is limited, and most issues between states and their citizens are not governed by the federal government. Marriage is one issue which the federal government has typically ruled is governed by the states.
The Supreme Court now has the opportunity to open a whole can of worms. Putting aside, for the moment, the question of gay marriage, the Supreme court could rule on whether states are allowed to govern marriages within their own borders, or if the federal government is going to take that right and responsibility away from them and transfer that authority to the US government and congress.
Further, they have the opportunity to declare that LGBT citizens are a group to be protected from discrimination of any form, and put sexual orientation on the same footing as sex and race.
While the primary question, "Is defining marriage as between man and woman" is the trigger, there is going to be a chunk of argument devoted to state's rights, and the division between the US constitution and state autonomy. A number of states are going to argue against LGBT rights in defense of their overall state rights. It would be quite possible to see a gay marriage supporting state argue against gay marriage in this case simply to avoid having the right to define marriage taken away from them.
Further, if the federal government accepts the responsibility to define marriage for the entire US, many, many issues would suddenly move to the federal government that are currently dealt with by the states.
The Supreme Court, of late, has tended to issue very narrow rulings, and I expect this to be the case here.
I doubt that this ruling will affect many other states, and we will have to see several of these lawsuits decided at this level before a more general ruling is made.
Oral arguments are today (march 26th) and the ruling is expected in June. Expect much discussion and dissection of arguments over the next week. Most political folk right now are focused on the one "swing vote" in the Court, expecting that the other 8 justices will rule as they have in past similar cases. Thus the questions posed by Justice Anthony Kennedy are probably going to receive the most scrutiny as people attempt to understand how he might vote based on what questions he asks.