Looks like one of the larger unintended consequences is that it reduces pressure to marry for support. Could be yet another reason people choose not to get married in the long run.In a series of controlled experiments that the US government conducted around the country to test a basic income program during that time, it was found that the payments didn’t seem to affect poverty levels, and that participants receiving payments, particularly black families, appeared to divorce at much higher rates than the control groups
Many places are too expensive to live because the market CAN bear the price, not because it MUST bear the price. Manhattan is a good example; things are so expensive there because the place is full of rich people and places rich people want to go and see... so the economy sort of became skewed because sellers figured they could get more this way. Of course, that flooded the area with money and artificially inflated the price of everything. Things cost more because people want to get rich off of other rich people, not because things are harder to get. Real estate is basically the only thing of value in the city that has reason for why it costs so much: people want to live there, so you get insane offers for housing.Or do we simply acknowledge that some places will be too expensive in the government income and people will have to work if they want a good life there, or move if they want a good life without working.
Mass sterilization? Are you assuming that idle humans would reproduce at unsustainably high rates? I find that unlikely, unless women's rights suffer a major setback, or birth control becomes some sort of lost technology.The only way to deal with this problem peacefully is a guaranteed income coupled with subsidized housing (and probably mass sterilizations). But that's unlikely to happen in a world where there are people who can be FORCED to work at gunpoint. So... barring a massive change in geopolitics or the invention of a post-scarcity economy, this sort of thing can really only happen as an experiment.
Read the Isaac Asimov story The Last Question and think about that question: the issue isn't high rates of reproduction but an ever lengthening lifespan, the removal of most life threatening hazards, and a lack of space (unless you want to start seizing property too). Places get crowded and the entire point of having such a huge god damn population was to have them producing goods for others... when production is automated, you want less people because it's less idle hands to get into trouble. You have to reduce population just to keep order unless you want the proletariat, stuck with a basic income, to start revolting against those they perceive as (unfairly) having more.Mass sterilization? Are you assuming that idle humans would reproduce at unsustainably high rates? I find that unlikely, unless women's rights suffer a major setback, or birth control becomes some sort of lost technology.
Most mincome formulations at the country level are coupled with a 2-tier society of immigrants (who have to earn their right to mincome) and citizens, not unlike how the current U.S. immigration system functions (e.g. I'm effectively not eligible for any kind of state/federal aid for at least another 8 years).
I don't think I'm understand your concern about cheap/coerced labor elsewhere, could you clarify?
Already read it many times, and I +1 the recommendation.Read the Isaac Asimov story The Last Question and think about that question: the issue isn't high rates of reproduction but an ever lengthening lifespan, the removal of most life threatening hazards, and a lack of space (unless you want to start seizing property too). Places get crowded and the entire point of having such a huge god damn population was to have them producing goods for others... when production is automated, you want less people because it's less idle hands to get into trouble. You have to reduce population just to keep order unless you want the proletariat, stuck with a basic income, to start revolting against those they perceive as (unfairly) having more.
Guaranteed income does not require a global scale, it requires an economy you can tinker with (the whole world is one, but so is every country not at the top-side of the Fragile States Index). Yes, the eventual idea is to raise the standard of living in the entire world, but jumping to North Korea not wanting in is like saying a church isn't worth building because there's an atheist in town.As for my concern about cheap/coerced labor elsewhere... the whole point of the guaranteed income is to work as a social control in the face of a world that no longer has labor issues... but some regions (like North Korea) use forced labor as a means of controlling the population. They have no incentive of doing something like this; they want a beaten down population and the ability to force people to ether become the beaten or those who beat. As such, you won't see this kind of massive social change in places like that without a massive government shift (i.e. revolution).
There is nothing wrong with being proactive and considering future issues before they occur.Already read it many times, and I +1 the recommendation.
Post-scarcity societies do not have unlimited supplies of innovation (science, art, philosophy, ...), I hardly see the point in enacting involuntary population control before unsustainability can be reasonably foreseen and calculated. You're thinking generations ahead of the level being discussed, no?
It's actually more like a Utopian idea like guaranteed income seems less so when one of your neighbors isn't allowed to partake because of actions outside his own. I'm not saying that you couldn't still do a guaranteed income in places that would allow it, but the point of such a thing is to remove the toils of existence to allow ALL of humanity to flourish in peace. By ignoring the suffering of others, you (and I don't mean you specifically, @Denbrought, but rather all of humanity) are perpetuating the sort of world view that allows such horrors to continue. It's basically invoking The Ones Who Walk Away from Omelas: if paradise can exist while others suffer, is it paradise? If we can learn to live with that knowledge, do we deserve it?Guaranteed income does not require a global scale, it requires an economy you can tinker with (the whole world is one, but so is every country not at the top-side of the Fragile States Index). Yes, the eventual idea is to raise the standard of living in the entire world, but jumping to North Korea not wanting in is like saying a church isn't worth building because there's an atheist in town.
This rings true. Sure, talk about it and do analysis, but don't implement plans and programs to remove or reduce rights until it's provably necessary.Being proactive and seeing population control as a necessity of post-scarcity are different, in my view.
This is certainly true. "The grass is always greener" syndrome is simply part of the human condition. We are living an existence that I expect many of our forbears would consider utopia. As we experience it, though, and know little of the hardships they endured, we can only see the flaws and cracks that we don't like simply because we haven't experienced worse.I don't believe in achieving utopia, only in continuous improvement.
Heh, or slightly more realistically, the billionaires would move to monaco, I get it.Switzerland would just get all of Trump's gold, Gas.
(Vaguely Godwinning this thread)
Meaningless in a post-scarcity world, and negligently wasteful in a world with limited resources. Confiscating wealth makes the controlling entity morally responsible for that wealth's use (kind of like how we hold the federal government responsible for its spending on military matters). Destroying it instead of, say, saving human lives with it (since the wealth is being destroyed, I think I get to choose a very positive alternative use) creates a very strong disgust response in me.If this is where we're gonna kick around what-ifs and thought experiments, how about this one...
Instead of trying to build up the bottom, what if we set fire to the top.
At the end of the year, all personal liquid/property wealth above a certain level, call it, I don't know, 100 times average personal income (which right now would work out to be 5 million dollars) for individuals and 100 times average corporate profits for companies, is confiscated and destroyed. The government doesn't get it to spend, it isn't redistributed, it's gone. Note I said wealth is destroyed, not income (albeit the cap is based on average income x100). Liquid capital, property, buildings, planes, cars, whatever... if the total owned by a person or company is above the limit, those assets are destroyed, starting with the most expensive working down, until the total is back under the limit.
A closing income gap, but no more incentive to "rob from the rich" via redistribution. It becomes a race to get rid of money above the cap via whatever means necessary - charity, new companies, new hiring, whatever. And as average income goes up - so does the cap.
This is cryptocurrency fanatics' wet dream, innit?Maybe add in a financial Berlin Wall. Outlaw any wire transfers of money leaving the US, and any physical asset registered in the US (planes, cars etc) are subject to immediate destruction if the registration is attempted to be changed to another nation.
So no more international trade?Maybe add in a financial Berlin Wall. Outlaw any wire transfers of money leaving the US, and any physical asset registered in the US (planes, cars etc) are subject to immediate destruction if the registration is attempted to be changed to another nation.
And it ultimately means nothing when some of these businesses eventually fail because you'll be getting use out of so many that it won't actually matter. You'd be slightly inconvenienced at worst.So no more international trade?
There are a million ways to game your system. For instance, I start a new company, once it starts getting more than 5 million a year, it splits in two, and I simply become board of directors with little over 50% stake in each. Of course most of my living expenses, travel, housing, etc are "business purposes" and rented (not owned!) by the businesses for my personal use. Thus I have few assets other than the part ownership in each company, but live like a king. Everything in the business is rented - computers, premises, etc, with few to no assets themselves, etc, etc. I pay the employees enough that the businesses never go above the 5 million mark, and if that can't be stopped I hire more people, rent more stuff, or start another business that also has no real assets.
What, we export?So no more international trade?
That's another hole that would have to be plugged. Prohibit a single person from serving in any managerial capacity in more than one company. Otherwise they shall be considered the same company for the purposes of the cap. No more conglomerates. 9 companies can't own everything we eat any more.There are a million ways to game your system. For instance, I start a new company, once it starts getting more than 5 million a year, it splits in two, and I simply become board of directors with little over 50% stake in each. Of course most of my living expenses, travel, housing, etc are "business purposes" and rented (not owned!) by the businesses for my personal use. Thus I have few assets other than the part ownership in each company, but live like a king. Everything in the business is rented - computers, premises, etc, with few to no assets themselves, etc, etc. I pay the employees enough that the businesses never go above the 5 million mark, and if that can't be stopped I hire more people, rent more stuff, or start another business that also has no real assets.
You would have to make it "no more than one corporation per immediate family within 3 generations" just to keep Old White Grandpa from using his wealth and connections to use his kids and grandkids as ways to store his assets. But even then you'd have rich guys essentially dictating the breeding of their lineage to game the system. "Oh no, my 10 year old great granddaughter just had her period and she's SUDDENLY PREGNANT. My 20 year old grandaughter will be distraught when she tells my 30 year old daughter the news. I'll just have to put this corporation in my great, great grandchild's name for the time being I suppose!"What, we export?
That's another hole that would have to be plugged. Prohibit a single person from serving in any managerial capacity in more than one company. Otherwise they shall be considered the same company for the purposes of the cap. No more conglomerates. 9 companies can't own everything we eat any more.
Though, do note I applied two separate caps to personal and corporate entities, both based on x100 average.
As for other loopholes, we'll obviously need an inquisitorial department. If you are found guilty of gaming the system by the judgement of the inquisitors, you are subject to 100% asset destruction.
Perhaps you would fancy a read of "The Midas Plague," a story written back in 1954 by Fredrick Pohl.A closing income gap, but no more incentive to "rob from the rich" via redistribution. It becomes a race to get rid of money above the cap via whatever means necessary - charity, new companies, new hiring, whatever. And as average income goes up - so does the cap.
I'll give it a look when I get home.Perhaps you would fancy a read of "The Midas Plague," a story written back in 1954 by Fredrick Pohl.
https://archive.org/stream/galaxymagazine-1954-04/Galaxy_1954_04#page/n7/mode/2up
It may resonate.
--Patrick
That's a good point, too. Would have to institute national anti-nepotism laws, and probably also a lower cap on wealth for minors, perhaps scaling exponentially from 0 at birth to 100% of the normal cap at 18.You would have to make it "no more than one corporation per immediate family within 3 generations" just to keep Old White Grandpa from using his wealth and connections to use his kids and grandkids as ways to store his assets. But even then you'd have rich guys essentially dictating the breeding of their lineage to game the system. "Oh no, my 10 year old great granddaughter just had her period and she's SUDDENLY PREGNANT. My 20 year old grandaughter will be distraught when she tells my 30 year old daughter the news. I'll just have to put this corporation in my great, great grandchild's name for the time being I suppose!"
Hah, made me think today, if a corporation is a "person," shouldn't it be illegal for a corporation to "own" another corporation?I'm all for the abolishment of Corporate Personhood, but I'm not sure what the best method would be to end the idea of corporate immortality.
--Patrick
My God I'd love to see that get used in court.Hah, made me think today, if a corporation is a "person," shouldn't it be illegal for a corporation to "own" another corporation?
In many Universal Basic Income proposals you get an additional % per children in your care, say, 50% of what an adult would get.Under this method you'd continue to get the payment, and anything you work additionally adds to your basic income. The cost of living for the average student is right about this level, and education is free, so it's not too little to live on, though if you've got children if may be harder since only adults get the payment. The article suggests it would replace all other welfare, but I'm guessing child welfare programs might not go away completely.
Should it not? If minimum income can be the same, UBI can too. I used to think like you, but lately I've been thinking that, well, if some cities are much more expensive to live in, it may simply be because it's better to live there. There's a price to pay if you want to live in the same place as everyone else: you become poorer. Conversely, if you want everything to be cheaper, you can go someplace else to live, but your price will be that the doctor is further away, or you won't get the same internet speed, and you certainly won't have a yoga place and a starbucks at the corner.One thing I've never seen addressed with such proposals, but should be: what adjustments should be made for housing costs and/or cost of living? For example, Vancouver, BC, is one of the most expensive places to live in the world whereas much of rural Newfoundland is pretty cheap. For a USA example, think Manhattan versus... rural Montana or something. The basic income in both places should NOT be the same, but how would it be determined in a way to stave off politics as much as possible?
No it shouldn't, as it leads to "rich cities" and "everywhere else". So it's an actual problem, not something that should be left IMO under any basic income proposal.Should it not? If minimum income can be the same, UBI can too. I used to think like you, but lately I've been thinking that, well, if some cities are much more expensive to live in, it may simply be because it's better to live there. There's a price to pay if you want to live in the same place as everyone else: you become poorer. Conversely, if you want everything to be cheaper, you can go someplace else to live, but your price will be that the doctor is further away, or you won't get the same internet speed, and you certainly won't have a yoga place and a starbucks at the corner.
But if you raise the basic income in the city you're making it even richer, and at the same time you are encouraging depopulation of other cities and rural areas. (Aren't you?)No it shouldn't, as it leads to "rich cities" and "everywhere else". So it's an actual problem, not something that should be left IMO under any basic income proposal.
Not if it deliberately scales away from living there.But if you raise the basic income in the city you're making it even richer, and at the same time you are encouraging depopulation of other cities and rural areas. (Aren't you?)
You know the government RIGHT NOW tracks where people actually live right? For tax purposes? Methinks your "cheat" will be detected rather fast. Not to say somebody making lots of money can't have multiple residences, but I would think that their "basic income" would be from the LEAST place on that list, not the greatest.Great! I'll be over here, renting mailboxes in Expensive City to people to put as their official residence, while they continue to live in Cheap Town.
I hate people who game the system, but people will game it, so any new system you think of should at least have some basic safe guards...
The idea of having an e-sports-ish simulated RPG version of society where people compete for prizes to see who can game the proposed changes for personal advantage is intriguing. Crowdsource your future!But you raise a good point about laws: every law should have a public consultation period in which people can submit how they would game the system prior to it passing. Won't catch everything, but could be an interesting result there.
Moreso than the current systems? Of course, just like the current systems, some checks and limitations will necessarily be put in place, but are you suggesting that these systems are untenable simply because they can be exploited and corrupted? What system doesn't suffer from corruption and exploitation?All of these systems are incredibly ripe for exploitation and corruption.
Hey, it's just a thought exercise. And really, no more destructive than communism/socialismI find it funny that gasbandit is the one who comes up with a system that involves more government control, complete asset overview, government seizure of property as a matter of course, and eventually some sort of super-powerful judges who can semi-randomly destroy people's lives, all the while nearly eliminating personal freedom.
Salaries would obviously go down, in part because employers would be paying part of your previous 'wage' to the state as increased taxes. Minimum wage is not needed anymore in this context (in principle), in part because everyone is supposed to have enough money to get by and in part because, as you say, prospective employees have a very strong tool in negotiating their salaries (hey, I don't need this 100$/mo job, I already get 800! Pay me at least 300 or it's not worth it to me!).I can see employers trying to take advantage of it ("You get $870/mo UBI? That means we can cut your full-time wages by $5.44/hr*! Let the government pay 75%** of your salary!"), but I also see market pressures stabilizing things a bit. Businesses who try to lean too hard on UBI as a way to increase their profit margins will likely fail as their rank and file employees leave for more lucrative positions (barring collusion amongst employers). Also, I could see "minimum wage" being redefined so that it favorably interacts with UBI somehow.
--Patrick
*870 per mo/4 wks/40hrs=5.437
**5.44 would be 75% of the current 7.25 minimum wage
Yup, that's one of the things I like most about UBI--it gets both the socialist arguments in my brain and the eliminate-wage-controls arguments to at least sit down in the same table. For example, my SO really should be making less than minimum wage at most at one of her current jobs (they pay her to babysit a computer lab, a.k.a. do homework and browse the web 90% of the time). If her rent and food were guaranteed, she'd still want the job, even if it only paid a fraction of what it currently does.Salaries would obviously go down, in part because employers would be paying part of your previous 'wage' to the state as increased taxes. Minimum wage is not needed anymore in this context (in principle), in part because everyone is supposed to have enough money to get by and in part because, as you say, prospective employees have a very strong tool in negotiating their salaries (hey, I don't need this 100$/mo job, I already get 800! Pay me at least 300 or it's not worth it to me!).
At the same time, a UBI is only effective if it actually provides what it needs to EVERYWHERE. Regional inflation is it's undoing, which makes both the very poor and the very rich it's greatest enemies.Yup, that's one of the things I like most about UBI--it gets both the socialist arguments in my brain and the eliminate-wage-controls arguments to at least sit down in the same table. For example, my SO really should be making less than minimum wage at most at one of her current jobs (they pay her to babysit a computer lab, a.k.a. do homework and browse the web 90% of the time). If her rent and food were guaranteed, she'd still want the job, even if it only paid a fraction of what it currently does.
I still don't understand why UBI needs to allow anyone to live anywhere within its territory of effect. I have not heard a good argument why UBI has a moral/economical responsibility to prevent any amount of gentrification.At the same time, a UBI is only effective if it actually provides what it needs to EVERYWHERE. Regional inflation is it's undoing, which makes both the very poor and the very rich it's greatest enemies.
Alternatively, perhaps high COL cities would become places of status, a Veblen good, while the low COL places would be marked as UBIquitous $50 lattes and lots of Silicon Valley-level masturbatory economics.Regarding location, I don't think that UBI would have as much effect on people currently in the workforce as it would on people who are beginning to enter the workforce. Older folks are already located somewhere, have a home, family, social life, etc. and will be more fixed in location. No, it is the post-teens who this would really affect. Someone who lives in an expensive city would get a small boost from UBI, but little else. However, someone growing up in an expensive city would look at how far their pending UBI would go when they turn 18 next year (or whatever) and be like, "No way, Mom. San Francisco might be great and all, but soon as my UBI kicks in, I'm gonna move to Des Moines where I can get by on 870/mo until I set up a life for myself." Any city which is too expensive would quickly deflate as all the young adults run away to more fiscally fertile areas. A city's importance as the epicenter of trade is already being threatened by the Internet, once you lessen another of its advantages (the pooling of resources to survive), you'll no doubt see cities start to stagnate, a relic of "old, pre-UBI people."
--Patrick
I'm not so sure about that. It's already impossibly expensive to live in downtown SF, but people want to do it anyway. As a personal example, I've been getting paid by a state fellowship during my P.h.D. My 'salary' was more or less reasonable for Barcelona, but it's the same for everyone else, and in other places you can live quite comfortably (for instance, you could afford your own place as opposed to sharing, or a change in 'effecty' salary as large as 2x). Do people try and go to other, cheaper cities to live 'better' ? Nope! In fact people still come here from many places to get similar wages in a much more expensive environment.Regarding location, I don't think that UBI would have as much effect on people currently in the workforce as it would on people who are beginning to enter the workforce. Older folks are already located somewhere, have a home, family, social life, etc. and will be more fixed in location. No, it is the post-teens who this would really affect. Someone who lives in an expensive city would get a small boost from UBI, but little else. However, someone growing up in an expensive city would look at how far their pending UBI would go when they turn 18 next year (or whatever) and be like, "No way, Mom. San Francisco might be great and all, but soon as my UBI kicks in, I'm gonna move to Des Moines where I can get by on 870/mo until I set up a life for myself." Any city which is too expensive would quickly deflate as all the young adults run away to more fiscally fertile areas. A city's importance as the epicenter of trade is already being threatened by the Internet, once you lessen another of its advantages (the pooling of resources to survive), you'll no doubt see cities start to stagnate, a relic of "old, pre-UBI people."
--Patrick
Hey, if we're just lyin' on the grass looking at the sky and talkin' what-if, I'm all over the place.It's a truly strange day when I realize I am the most conservative person on this board about a particular issue.
I would think the person most diametrically opposed to this on the board would be Charlie, since UBI predicates on many capitalist principles, like a monetary system, individual wealth, and a peaceful overhaul of an existing regulatory system (instead of a bloody revolution).It's a truly strange day when I realize I am the most conservative person on this board about a particular issue.
Minimum wage: Government forces businesses to pay a minimum wage. See also: "Unfunded Mandate"(BTW, I'm still not seeing how the effects of UBI and minimum wage are any different in this part of the discussion)
What if C-A-T... actually spelled... DOG?Hey, if we're just lyin' on the grass looking at the sky and talkin' what-if, I'm all over the place.
If we're talking about how things actually should be, that's another story.
Sorry, I wasn't clear. I meant what difference does it make to the 'rich cities - poor cities' problem whether you have a ubi or a minimum wage.Minimum wage: Government forces businesses to pay a minimum wage. See also: "Unfunded Mandate"
Basic Income: Government supplements incomes with money collected economy-wide.
--Patrick
And so would talking animals and chocolate air.Being able to live without spending half of your waking hours doing stupid bullshit for other people would be great.
To be fair, both of those are significantly less likely to occur.And so would talking animals and chocolate air.
Not without free limitless energy in at least fusion-level amounts plus matter replication technology. It's all about as equally farfetched.To be fair, both of those are significantly less likely to occur.
--Patrick
We have the capability for at least half of that right now.Not without free limitless energy in at least fusion-level amounts plus matter replication technology. It's all about as equally farfetched.
Energy production isn't even the issue anymore (in the US anyway)... it's energy transfer and storage. We can make cars and trucks that work with electrical energy just fine, but you still need to carry around a bazillion batteries that need to be replaced every ten years, and you still need to plug the thing in for hours at your home. Same with homes: you really can't effectively run a house on solar energy without a pretty hefty space commitment for batteries and that only works when you don't need to blow AC/Heat 24 hours a day.Not without free limitless energy in at least fusion-level amounts plus matter replication technology. It's all about as equally farfetched.
Wasn't that 2015?The sun doesn't always shine, the wind doesn't always blow, or sometimes it blows too hard. We're not close to limitless free energy, and yeah, batteries are a problem. Wake me when Doc is installing Mr Fusion on his delorean.
If you think that domestic energy consumption even holds a CANDLE up against commercial and industrial usage, you are fooling yourself, and those around you. The real consumers are industry, quickly followed by any building bigger than a house. There are SINGLE MACHINES in the mining industry that consume the equivalent of more than 10,000 houses worth of energy (coal mining btw, I'm thinking of a large machine in Germany). And it's WORTH IT to use that on a net-gain of energy basis. You think you're doing awesome changing to CFLs/LEDs? HA! You are a drop in the bucket.Energy production isn't even the issue anymore (in the US anyway)... it's energy transfer and storage. We can make cars and trucks that work with electrical energy just fine, but you still need to carry around a bazillion batteries that need to be replaced every ten years, and you still need to plug the thing in for hours at your home. Same with homes: you really can't effectively run a house on solar energy without a pretty hefty space commitment for batteries and that only works when you don't need to blow AC/Heat 24 hours a day.
We're not there quite yet, but we're almost.
It's not just unskilled labor. One of the ways I've made my career is by touting on my resume how I can reduce overhead by replacing semi-skilled labor (data entry, dispatch, etc) with automation. When I started this job 5 years ago, we had 64 dispatchers, for instance. Automation has let us drop that number down to 6. At a previous job, over the course of one weekend, I'd performed more web scraping/data entry than a team of 14 data entry people had done in the previous six months.Of course this is merely one perspective, but I think things are going to have to change because automation of work is accelerating faster than new job types and faster than we can educate workers to enter new fields. Many of the old unskilled labor fields will simply be automated over time - but that's going very quickly.
No thanks, hearing "FEED ME!!!!" all the time would be even more annoying then the meowing. And no, choking to death isn't better when it's caused by chocolate.And so would talking animals and chocolate air.
Ok, but who furnishes me the parts for a small japanese car for me to slowly assemble over the course of a summer?
That depends on how much crap you wanna put up with.Ok, but who furnishes me the parts for a small japanese car for me to slowly assemble over the course of a summer?
Ya, there always has to be (quite a number of) jobs for the unskilled, because even if you skill everybody, a large number of those skills per year are made obsolete. Unless you pay for all the re-training, you STILL need unskilled jobs in an economy that people can live off of not just be destitute while working.Automation is a problem when you look at the service industry; many of those people aren't otherwise employable in other fields without massive retraining or expensive education. That's why UBI is an idea: there is a point where the underclass has no economic value except at buyers of product if you automate fully.
Dude, sorry, but that's a bad example.I wrote some software to do that job. Every half hour, a routine checks every open and pending ticket via the web. When the routine detects cleared tickets, it automatically assigns and notifies trucking crews. The two women who had that job got moved to more administrative duties that required more skills and more responsibilities.
Because of the automation, we were able to move from 50 or so technicians on the payroll to over 650 today with the same administrative overhead and less human error. I'd like to think that the processes I made helped create a shit ton of jobs, while also providing a better end result for the home-owner.
So yeah, those two specific jobs were eliminated from the payroll. But everyone (including the people who used to hold those jobs) benefited.
Sure, just ask horses about the demand for them since Ford and his moving assembly line.So when we increase capacity there will be increased demand *somewhere* for non-automated employees.
It's a problem there 1st because we're near a point where you can automate it almost fully. But it's eventually coming everywhere.Automation is a problem when you look at the service industry;
Sure, but Bach didn't get famous by writing music the experts couldn't tell apart from "insert previous famous composer".though, to be fair, there's already a computer writing Bach pieces so good musical expers have trouble telling them apart
True. Computer still needs a base/structure to work from/with. Still, it's one step further than we were before. Plenty of work being done in procedurally generated content and making it look genuine/man-made. We'll see where we are in 10 years' time.Sure, but Bach didn't get famous by writing music the experts couldn't tell apart from "insert previous famous composer".
I can agree with this. Unskilled repetitive labor is the first best place to look at for automation.I don't think we'll get to the "no human labor necessary" point very soon - but we are quickly getting to "no unskilled human labor necessary....and that means some types of people have a harder and harder job of getting a job.
And we, as a society, need to figure out what to do with people who are capable only of such. I don't mean this in a demeaning way, by the way - these people may have other skills/qualities/etc that mean they're great parents/neighbours/friends/etc, are the life of the party, and so on. But we have to face the reality that automation is creating (and will create) an unemployable class of people. Or at least, usefully employable. Either we're willing to pay people for non-jobs (though you run into problems of job satisfaction) or we have to support these people somehow while also letting them keep their "pride" for lack of a better term. Sense of self. Something.I can agree with this. Unskilled repetitive labor is the first best place to look at for automation.
Not to be a super cynical Sally, but war generally works in that regard.And we, as a society, need to figure out what to do with people who are capable only of such.
Really depends on how you treat it. Most version (partially) replace all other kinds of benefits/income from the government (welfare, disabilities, sick leave, pension, child support), and, since wages would likely drop, increase income tax in return. It'd definitely cost money, but - depending on what economist you want to listen to - the cost is more likely to be about a quarter of the actual pay-out.$870/mo UBI would cost the US around 2-3 trillion a year, alone. That's not a thing that is gonna happen.
It really doesn't. Disease has played a much larger role historically that way. War actually doesn't kill nearly as many as you think. Sometimes the "consequences" of war are disease, but that's not always a "sure thing" for correlation. Spanish Flu post-WWI killed more than the war did, and that war (well, the PEACE actually) helped spread it worldwide via soldiers coming home, but it wasn't destruction of services via war that caused the flu to kill so many, it was just the disease itself that did the job.Not to be a super cynical Sally, but war generally works in that regard.
We can't exactly institute a policy of disease, though.It really doesn't. Disease has played a much larger role historically that way. War actually doesn't kill nearly as many as you think. Sometimes the "consequences" of war are disease, but that's not always a "sure thing" for correlation. Spanish Flu post-WWI killed more than the war did, and that war (well, the PEACE actually) helped spread it worldwide via soldiers coming home, but it wasn't destruction of services via war that caused the flu to kill so many, it was just the disease itself that did the job.
Google it some more Gas. You might be surprised.
Ya but we need to worry about the pre-set kill limits on Killbots. Zap will find a way to take them out.We can't exactly institute a policy of disease, though.
WW2 did kill off ~60 million young men (mostly russians and germans), though. Granted, it's not exactly a pandemic, but if you're really looking to keep an underclass employed, war's hard to beat.
Of course, then you eggheads will probably go and automate that, too.
BEEP BOOP WHY DO I FEEL PAINYa but we need to worry about the pre-set kill limits on Killbots. Zap will find a way to take them out.
But now unskilled labor is not capable of running the murder machines of the 21st century.Not to be a super cynical Sally, but war generally works in that regard.
Disease has played a much larger role historically that way
Well, we could potentially create that sort of environment if enough anti-vaxxers get appointed to the right places...We can't exactly institute a policy of disease, though.
These are the kinds of things that make people believe in Illuminati conspiracies everywhere. Hell, I think I'm starting to believe it.Well, we could potentially create that sort of environment if enough anti-vaxxers get appointed to the right places...
Problem...solved?
--Patrick
Jenny McCarthy managed it just fine while also being busy on MTV... don't sell yourself short.We can't exactly institute a policy of disease, though.
Despite it probably having other horrific legal consequences, a large part of me wants her tried for every Measles, Mumps, and Rubella death from any unvaccinated child in the USA (and elsewhere, hopefully) since she said her stupidity. Put her right alongside that "doctor" that started it. He may have started it, but she made it "popular" to not vaccinate.Jenny McCarthy managed it just fine while also being busy on MTV... don't sell yourself short.
Illuminati? Surely not.These are the kinds of things that make people believe in Illuminati conspiracies everywhere. Hell, I think I'm starting to believe it.
But we have to face the reality that automation is creating (and will create) an unemployable class of people.
Actually, there are places where it legally can't. The whole thing about sign spinning was that it was a way to get around ordinances against posting advertising - there was a loophole that a sign would be allowed so long as it was carried by a person. So then they tried to get fancy with it, and even places where it wasn't a legal requirement tried to ride the tide.. and some figured out they didn't need the human where they were.Ah sign spinning, the one job that could never be automated.
That only counts if you can construct an actual, independent android.Ok. So what if I create a Data-like android to spin signs? I feel like this is where we could have the whole important "do androids have rights" kind of legal battle.
I'm not sure that's true... I think if you put a sign on a roomba and turned it loose, that might cover the bases (assuming the roomba doesn't get stuck or stolen) as far as the statutes are concerned.That only counts if you can construct an actual, independent android.
Good luck with that.
--Patrick
Welllll, now we're just debating where exactly is the line between "construct" and "organism."I'm not sure that's true... I think if you put a sign on a roomba and turned it loose, that might cover the bases (assuming the roomba doesn't get stuck or stolen) as far as the statutes are concerned.
Well, the loophole isn't about someone's personhood, it's just about the sign being carried instead of posted. The same thing could be accomplished with an R/C car, and at this point, you could now just set waypoints and let it navigate alone.Welllll, now we're just debating where exactly is the line between "construct" and "organism."
--Patrick
Well, if you get right down to it, isn't a roomba a specialized drone?Why would you use a Roomba instead of a drone?
Better yet, have it tethered to a human-powered generator bike. He pedals, sign animates.Well then just have it tethered to a human holding a really heavy battery. Seems like a win win.
Didn't someone already try that?What if you used an android to pedal the bike?
The rest of the article goes into some of the reasons why this isn't reflected right now, and how there IS injustice there (and some not so much injustice as just circumstance), but the core stats are interesting in and of themselves IMO. The gap of "ideal" versus current is not as dramatic as some people might want you to believe. This isn't a reason to lack vigilance on those with wealth and power, and how they exercise/abuse that to pervert rule of law and democracy, and everything else that wealth and power usually get you, but we're also not in a situation as a society of such panic-inducing inequality of wealth as it may seem.The fact the top 20% of households in Canada hold 67% of the personal wealth, while the bottom 20% hold no wealth at all seems, on the surface, to be a very inequitable and unfair situation.
...snip...
Imagine a perfectly “egalitarian” society where everyone is identical in every respect, except for age, and where a person’s income grows slowly as they take on more responsibility and leadership in their job. Everyone would have exactly the same lifetime income and wealth, but they would have different levels of wealth at different stages of life.
In such a society, if people saved 10% of their income in a fund for retirement, then at any point in time, the top 20% would have 50% of the wealth and the bottom 20% would have no wealth.
Low-income people are also often actively discouraged from saving money (at least in the US). Money in savings can count against getting assistance.I figured this was the best thread for "economic equality" or any related topics.
This article was interesting. I was expecting a certain degree of bias here, but it's much more math-based than I expected in its core argument: The rich vs. poor myth - 80% of ‘wealth inequality’ in Canada is explained by one simple factor: Age
From the article, two sections that illustrate it best:
The rest of the article goes into some of the reasons why this isn't reflected right now, and how there IS injustice there (and some not so much injustice as just circumstance), but the core stats are interesting in and of themselves IMO. The gap of "ideal" versus current is not as dramatic as some people might want you to believe. This isn't a reason to lack vigilance on those with wealth and power, and how they exercise/abuse that to pervert rule of law and democracy, and everything else that wealth and power usually get you, but we're also not in a situation as a society of such panic-inducing inequality of wealth as it may seem.
That may indeed pose a dilemma. On the one hand, you have people living paycheck-to-paycheck, not being able to save anything since everything goes to paying the normal bills plus the monthly installments. On the other hand, you have people who make just as little, but who didn't blow it all on that Playstation or that big-ass widescreen tv, and managed to put a little money aside.Low-income people are also often actively discouraged from saving money (at least in the US). Money in savings can count against getting assistance.
There are many things wrong with the horribly broken welfare system, but a poor family getting a Playstation is not one of them. Saving up $400 for a Playstation for Christmas, to bring a little joy to their family's life, isn't going to make much impact on their overall financial situation.That may indeed pose a dilemma. On the one hand, you have people living paycheck-to-paycheck, not being able to save anything since everything goes to paying the normal bills plus the monthly installments. On the other hand, you have people who make just as little, but who didn't blow it all on that Playstation or that big-ass widescreen tv, and managed to put a little money aside.
So, on the one hand, you have people who squandered everything they received, and are now in dire straits partly because of their profligacy. On he other hand, you have people who made do with what little they received, and actually have some assets. With a limited budget for assistance, when there just isn't enough money to go around, who is the one who needs/deserves assistance the most? Will you support the ones who have nothing and need the money to survive? Or will you support the ones who are actually trying to help themselves, but can make do without assistance for at least a short period of time?
A bit of an extreme example, but I think not all who are without assets have done all that they could to avoid getting to that point.
… and that beach vacation, the second car, and a subprime mortgage...There are many things wrong with the horribly broken welfare system, but a poor family getting a Playstation is not one of them. Saving up $400 for a Playstation for Christmas, to bring a little joy to their family's life, isn't going to make much impact on their overall financial situation.
I know, I know, if you let them have a Playstation without judgement, the next thing you know they'll want a refrigerator...
I'm a bit confused. The title of the article is 80% is caused by age. Then it explains why that is wrong? I took a peek at it and I must have missed that.The rest of the article goes into some of the reasons why this isn't reflected right now
This is because many Americans (especially religious, conservative ones) equate financial success with good morality. I.E. Those people are poor and we aren't, therefore they must have done something wrong because God doesn't allow good people to suffer. Therefore we should be able to dictate the way they live their lives, which should be devoid of things we consider frivolous even though WE wouldn't want to be without them ether.I think Sara is simply pointing out (if I'm wrong, Sara, my apologies!) that there is this pervasive belief, at least in the US, that people of low income aren't allowed to have any nice things at all until they're not low income anymore, and it gets trotted out every time a politician decides to cut low-income assistance programs (by both sides, in fact, just with a different emotional goal).
It was in response to the article Eriol linked, which was looking at the reasons why certain populations have more money--it's much harder for people starting out on a low-income, or ending up on welfare at some point, to have savings built up later in life. Our welfare system is not set up to help or encourage people to save money. (My opinion is that helping people on public assistance to also learn about savings/retirement plans and how to save money, and maybe help them get or maintain an IRA, is a better long-term strategy than making people deplete their savings before giving them food stamps while they're looking for a new job).… and that beach vacation, the second car, and a subprime mortgage...
The Playstation wasn't really the gist of my point, but I'll bite. Some families may prioritise having a Playstation, and rely on welfare to provide the rest. Others may prioritise having enough money in the bank to buy food for one month in case something should happen.
From what I gathered of you original post, you were criticizing that government welfare schemes penalize those who save money, in that savings cut on assistance received. What would follow is that the poor family might be better served by spending all their income instead of saving it, in order to maximize the support they receive from government assistance programs. I hope I understood your point correctly.
For the purposes of promoting discussion, I was attempting to examine why a government assistance scheme might have this effect. No government ever has the money to do everything they want. One may disagree with their spending priorities, but the money just isn't there for everything. This includes the welfare budget. So, where should they direct their assistance? To the people who can't survive without it (because they blew their money on that Playstation, or because of something else)? Or to the ones who have some little assets, and who can survive for a short while without assistance / with limited assistance? Is it fair to penalize the ones who, despite having limited means, are still trying to save up and take care of themselves? On the same token, is it fair to cause real hardship on the ones who can't make do without assistance as they have next to nothing, regardless of how they ended up in those circumstances?
Well, each person is, of course, permitted to the assistance their circumstances entitle them to, under the prevailing systems, and to spend what they earn as they wish.I think Sara is simply pointing out (if I'm wrong, Sara, my apologies!) that there is this pervasive belief, at least in the US, that people of low income aren't allowed to have any nice things at all until they're not low income anymore, and it gets trotted out every time a politician decides to cut low-income assistance programs (by both sides, in fact, just with a different emotional goal).
Whatever discussions need to be had about administrative waste or appropriate assistance by income level, scrutinizing household purchases when all it takes is a single hospital visit to bankrupt an American family (whether they have a PS4 or not) is a fairly useless point.
As I understand it, in the Finnish trial, part of the idea is to reduce expenditure by reducing the administrative overhead associated with managing the convoluted welfare system that we have over here. When and if the system gets adopted, a big portion of the real beneficiaries are on the dole already, and the rest will pay the money back in taxes.For real the idea of a universal basic income is kind of absurd when we've got the handout generation strolling across the finish line right now.
According to this article, most people on welfare have jobs, it's just that the jobs don't pay enough so they are also on welfare. So you could live on government welfare, and spend what you make from your job to go to Bermuda.Is there actually a widespread problem of people on welfare having tons of luxuries? Because a lot of welfare comes in the form of things like food stamps/cards, medical coverage, utilities assistance, and education assistance. As far as I know, most people are not getting cut huge checks every month that they can spend on going to Bermuda.
I had linked to some articles about Libertarian support for universal income back on page 3 of this discussion (it's easy to find, because GasBandit's head explodes in the next post ). They made the same argument, that UBI could be better because it gets rid of the beauracracy and waste of a complex welfare system. So, yeah, it will be interesting to see how these experiments turn out.As I understand it, in the Finnish trial, part of the idea is to reduce expenditure by reducing the administrative overhead associated with managing the convoluted welfare system that we have over here. When and if the system gets adopted, a big portion of the real beneficiaries are on the dole already, and the rest will pay the money back in taxes.
We'll have to see how things go.
I can't get to the full article (paywall), but it's pretty common knowledge that most people on welfare in the US are "working poor" (well, common knowledge for people who don't demonize being poor). If someone has a job that they can afford a trip to Bermuda, I doubt they qualify for welfare (unless they did really careful planning and saving, in which case they deserve their trip to Bermuda). If they're able to save $400 to drive the family to the beach in Florida for a few days one summer, who cares? In either case, the trip money still isn't going to solve their low-paying-job problem that makes them "working poor".Have to get to work so I'll make a better response later. But here goes:
According to this article, most people on welfare have jobs, it's just that the jobs don't pay enough so they are also on welfare. So you could live on government welfare, and spend what you make from your job to go to Bermuda.
You were most likely actually looking for the income inequality thread, but I suppose it's not totally out of place here.I figured this was the best thread for "economic equality" or any related topics.
It wasn't on the first page so I missed it and forgot that it existed or I would have searched for it. I skimmed down the first page for something, and this was the best, though I'd be 100% OK with an admin moving all these posts over to that thread and to bump it, as you're right that it's the better thread.You were most likely actually looking for the income inequality thread, but I suppose it's not totally out of place here.
--Patrick
Teaching people money management is a great social policy for poverty reduction. Using the lack of knowledge of it as a determination factor for who is worth helping is very much not so.While I'm not trying to down-play the role of medical bills, many personal poverty reduction strategies I've seen are very much focused on careful management of expenditure. So I'm not sure that examining spending patterns is useless at all for self-help.
FTFY.Zuckerberg has come out in favor of this: Mark Zuckerberg Calls for Universal Basic Income in His Harvard Commencement Speech
No word on when he plans to use his Billions to support people on his own. You know, quite literally put his money where his mouth is? How many people could he, on his own, support? If it's the right thing to do, why isn't he just doing it? Why wait for government, start a "free money" charity and go from there.
Oh wait, he wants EVERYBODY to pay for it. Moving on...
Nothing says he can't overpay as much as he wants.Considering he pays taxes too, not really, no.
None of that contradicts what I said, let alone being irrelevant.Nothing says he can't overpay as much as he wants.
How much you wanna bet he hires somebody to make sure he pays no more than will be required to keep him out of jail?
It shows that his "paying taxes" is not evidence of altruism. If he thinks paying more taxes is a good thing, there is absolutely nothing to stop him from leading by example.None of that contradicts what I said, let alone being irrelevant.
Again, nothing to do with what was said and what I wrote for FTFY. But go on singing a Country song at an Opera if it makes you happy.It shows that his "paying taxes" is not evidence of altruism. If he thinks paying more taxes is a good thing, there is absolutely nothing to stop him from leading by example.
I don't know if you know what squandered means......gonna be squandered on a night with a couple hookers.
Fun fact - that problem doesn't get solved with broader application.Mark Zuckerberg doesn't have enough money to make any impact by spreading it around equally to every American. What's everybody gonna get? Like 600 bucks? And that's by making himself broke. This is not a policy that philanthropy can accomplish.
I mean, sure the @stienman family would make millions, but for us single guys that's just gonna be squandered on a night with a couple hookers.
Yeah, I think that's what I just implied.Fun fact - that problem doesn't get solved with broader application.
If you cranked the millionaire tax rate to 100%, it would fund the US government for about 4 months (and demolish the economy permanently).
So, no, the mean ol 1% can't carry everybody. Everybody still has to get a job.
Said comment was meant to elicit your exact response, which could then be expanded with my response, thus showing universal income to be the impractical farce it is.Yeah, I think that's what I just implied.
(I was obliquely responding to the "he should put his money where his mouth is" comment)
You're also not a billionaire trying to shame everybody else into paying higher taxes.But that's not how taxes work. I may be in favor of increased tax rates in my country, but that doesn't mean I'm a hypocryte if I pay just what society, through government, has supposedly agreed is the fair amount for me to pay (paying less thant what I'm supposed to pay WOULD make me a hypocryte).
This was where I thought you were going in the first place."You mean you can't trust the government to spend money how you think it should be spent?"
Shh, don't tell him!Mark Zuckerberg doesn't have enough money to make any impact by spreading it around equally to every American. What's everybody gonna get? Like 600 bucks? And that's by making himself broke. This is not a policy that philanthropy can accomplish.
I mean, sure the @stienman family would make millions, but for us single guys that's just gonna be squandered on a night with a couple hookers.
Mark Zuckerberg doesn't have enough money to make any impact by spreading it around equally to every American. What's everybody gonna get? Like 600 bucks? And that's by making himself broke. This is not a policy that philanthropy can accomplish.
I mean, sure the @stienman family would make millions, but for us single guys that's just gonna be squandered on a night with a couple hookers.
(I was obliquely responding to the "he should put his money where his mouth is" comment)
@GasBandit actually it wasn't meant to get that response, considering I'm the one who said that up there.Said comment was meant to elicit your exact response, which could then be expanded with my response, thus showing universal income to be the impractical farce it is.
I said it, too!@GasBandit actually it wasn't meant to get that response, considering I'm the one who said that up there.
I said that, too, too!If you're not doing it yourself voluntarily when you're more than capable (ie: all rich people by definition of financial status), why are you asking others to do it involuntarily via government?
The thing is, if you're one of those who need the help, then you by definition don't contribute voluntarily, and if you are "more than capable," then it's not the sort of thing you tend to think about. Government, in this scenario, is there to involuntarily compel/remind the more than capable folks of their responsibility. What the issue of contention really is, is one of whether or not the "haves" have any duty to improve the conditions of the "have nots." Less about "Communism," more like "Feudalism."If you're not doing it yourself voluntarily when you're more than capable (ie: all rich people by definition of financial status), why are you asking others to do it involuntarily via government?
It most certainly is not (or rather, shouldn't be), and this is one of the more chilling sentences I've read on this board, coming from you.Government, in this scenario, is there to involuntarily compel/remind the more than capable folks of their responsibility.
Uh, no, that'd be your local Church (or related).The thing is, if you're one of those who need the help, then you by definition don't contribute voluntarily, and if you are "more than capable," then it's not the sort of thing you tend to think about. Government, in this scenario, is there to involuntarily compel/remind the more than capable folks of their responsibility.
That's about as square as you can ask about a question of morality. You want to legislate that now? See above my mention of Churches. This is squarely a moral issue.What the issue of contention really is, is one of whether or not the "haves" have any duty to improve the conditions of the "have nots."
Interesting. I didn't find it that surprising. Maybe it's about PatrThom specifically, because there's no shortage of others on this board in favor of compelling us to spend our money the way they want it to be spent (ie: government wealth redistribution).It most certainly is not (or rather, shouldn't be), and this is one of the more chilling sentences I've read on this board, coming from you.
I more meant "in the above stated scenario," as in, with UBI (as portrayed by Zuckerberg), it is the Government's job to raise enough money (through taxation, presumably) to provide this minimum stipend for all. In my ideal world, the people who have all power aren't competing to see who can accumulate the most or who can get their last name on the most stuff, instead they realize they're more like custodians of influence, and they apply it where it'll do the most good. They realize they're part of the whole, and not above it.It most certainly is not (or rather, shouldn't be), and this is one of the more chilling sentences I've read on this board, coming from you.
I would argue that it's not the "job" of the Government nor of the Church to remind people of their responsibilities to others. I don't necessarily believe we need to legislate morality because I don't believe we (as a society) should have to. People are just supposed to know. But I get what you're going for.Uh, no, that'd be your local Church (or related).
Yeah, and that's why atheists are never kind or generous...Uh, no, that'd be your local Church (or related).
Westboro is a church. I doubt many would agree that they're a "force for good."Yeah, have a hard time feeling the church being a 'force for good' vibe people are trying to push.
...anyone who's not a member, at least.Westboro is a church. I doubt many would agree that they're a "force for good."
versus government. You want the government to be the arbiter of what's considered morally "good"? That's what I was refuting, not any other argument.Yeah, and that's why atheists are never kind or generous...
No, but it's acceptable for the public to decide what is morally acceptable/good/desireable and for them to hand it to the government to work towards that goal. In theory (and oh I know this is purely theoretical) the government doesn't have an agenda beyond "doing what the people want", no need to make a profit, not beholdne to any special interest group, and so on.versus government. You want the government to be the arbiter of what's considered morally "good"? That's what I was refuting, not any other argument.
I would argue that the government is working at it's best when it does the exact opposite of this. If the general public was allowed to have it's way consistently, numerous individual rights would be violated in the name of the religion of the majority and the racial views of the majority. We have already seen what such bigotry has done to the minorities of the country in the past.No, but it's acceptable for the public to decide what is morally acceptable/good/desireable and for them to hand it to the government to work towards that goal.
Funny, because governments at least have some history of not fucking it up in some of their incarnations, while i can't think of a church that hasn't done something horrible once it reached more then a few thousand people. I mean if even Buddhists ended up killing people...versus government. You want the government to be the arbiter of what's considered morally "good"? That's what I was refuting, not any other argument.
Sounds like an unfounded rumor, at least at a very cursory glance: https://politics.stackexchange.com/a/12314I've been annoyed by this for years. Didn't the way the US reports unemployment change under the Obama administration?
As far I know, unemployment since the Great Depression has been measured as people actively seeking employment. So you don't count pensioners, the sick, and the wealthy as unemployed.I've been annoyed by this for years. Didn't the way the US reports unemployment change under the Obama administration?
It didn't change, it was just the economic collapse caused a large number of people to be unemployed so long they stopped being counted as workforce, thus making the "unemployment" rate return to 6% (falsely being touted as a "recovery") when it really was twice that (if you compared it to the labor participation rate pre-crash), and of course underemployment was ignored entirely.I've been annoyed by this for years. Didn't the way the US reports unemployment change under the Obama administration?
As it ever was, and ever shall be. Before Obama, 5.5% unemployment was decried as evidence of a flagging economy under bush... when it was lauded as "full employment" under clinton.And the same people who said the numbers were a scam when there was positive news under Obama are now falling all over themselves to praise Trump when the same numbers are positive, but nowhere near the same gains.
And now Trump just makes shit upAs it ever was, and ever shall be. Before Obama, 5.5% unemployment was decried as evidence of a flagging economy under bush... when it was lauded as "full employment" under clinton.
The whole practice is a sham, and every politician attempts to abuse it to their own ends, because the numbers are all meaningless and easy to misrepresent.
I liked how that video honestly tried to present both sides of it. There was a bias towards "don't panic" but it was honest both ways IMO.Relevant:
(Deleted the media)
The only way that happens is Doomsday. Because the only way to guarantee that happens is to remove humanity from the equation. Don't underestimate the ability of people to behave in stupid ways. Mind bogglingly stupid ways. Ways which no machine would ever be prepared to deal with. Which is why you have humans working the overnight shift, just in case a new branch of stupid appears. And it always will.the unhappiest guy on Earth will be that guy (or gal!) who spends their entire personal fortune ensuring that nobody else has to work ever again.
--Patrick
I'd say that's worth watching, but I think they downplay FAR too much the 67% (according to the video) of people displeased with their jobs. MOST of them IMO will not work if they can. And if their lives aren't good enough, they'll vote in people who will give them more "free" money yet again.The maker of the video has what I consider to be an obvious bias, but it’s still informative.
—Patrick
My church’s version of this was called “the United order”:Get rid of wages and create a communist utopia.
"forced to contribute" is a misunderstanding of communism - in a theoretical communist Utopia, nobody contributes anything, voluntary or not, because nobody has anything. You work/produce/create/contribute for the Greater Good, and in turn you get anything you need and can profit from anything available.My church’s version of this was called “the United order”:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Order
So I’d be all for that, but in this version no one would be forced to contribute, so I’m not sure it fits your definition.
Well, MI did just increase the minimum wage 35 cents/hr as of Jan 1.We’ve hashed and rehashed the same minimum wage arguments many times in the last decade. Has something fundamentally changed that should force a re-evaluation?
I mean, you can say that, but if we had no unskilled labor, a lot of businesses would cease to exist. They are still providing a necessary role.I’d be very interested in tying minimum wage increases to inflation and possibly cost of living, but not by going back many years.
Beyond that, I’d like unskilled labor to remain low cost. If you want to make a living wage and raise a family you should specialize in a skill or receive training and education for a career.
steinman we agree on a lot, but I disagree with you on this. The underlying problem is (essentially) infinite supply of unskilled labour. That leads to the abuses we see of such people, and the rock-bottom wages. When they need people, they pay them. If they can get 10 more off of the street, they will pay the minimum necessary by law.I’d be very interested in tying minimum wage increases to inflation and possibly cost of living, but not by going back many years.
Beyond that, I’d like unskilled labor to remain low cost. If you want to make a living wage and raise a family you should specialize in a skill or receive training and education for a career.
Once you replace money with a different medium of trade, that new medium of trade de facto becomes “money.”Instead of money, is there a more tangible product that could be used by all? Non-perishable or shelf-stable foods?
Nuka-cola caps?Instead of money, is there a more tangible product that could be used by all? Non-perishable or shelf-stable foods?
Sure, but in his example, at least that's money you can eat...Once you replace money with a different medium of trade, that new medium of trade de facto becomes “money.”
—Patrick
tl;dr: "It's no silver bullet"Sixteen practical projects were reviewed that tested different ways of distributing regular cash payments to individuals. These included past, current and planned experiments across a range of poor, middle-income and rich countries. [...] [M]aking cash payments to individuals to increase their purchasing power in a market economy is not a viable route to solving problems caused by neoliberal market economics. [There is] no evidence that any version of UBI can be affordable, inclusive, sufficient and sustainable at the same time, [and campaigning for it threatens] to divert political energies - as well as funds - from more important causes.
--PatrickFUCK WORK
Economists believe in full employment. Americans think that work builds character. But what if jobs aren’t working anymore? [...] we’ve believed that, even if it sucks, a job gives meaning, purpose and structure to our everyday lives [...] as if having a job is self-evidently a good thing, no matter how dangerous, demanding or demeaning it is. [...]
[It's] time we asked even more practical questions. How do you make a living without a job – can you receive income without working for it? Is it possible, to begin with and then, the hard part, is it ethical? If you were raised to believe that work is the index of your value to society – as most of us were – would it feel like cheating to get something for nothing?
Well we've pretty much got the first one, if only the majority wasn't so self-interested that they refuse to see it.Until we've got a source of unlimited free energy and replicators, yes, work is still a requirement for civilization to continue.
To be fair, if there weren't so many bosses who become bosses primarily for the opportunity to boss other people around and get off on that power trip, being a subordinate wouldn't be so bad.Most people WANT to work and contribute to society in some way, they'd just rather not have to be abused by their boss or be the victim of corporate mismanagement. THAT is an achievable goal in the now.
Said the guy who argued multiple times that enough new wealth can be created so that having a few people hoard as much money as possible wouldn't actually hinder poor people....Until we've got a source of unlimited free energy and replicators, yes, work is still a requirement for civilization to continue.
'Member how before you got a job you where able to intersect with other humans outside school hours, even though they didn't even have mobile phones on them, and you actually had to interact with their parents to get them on a land line, or just walk around and bump into them at your usual hang out spots?I think people are finding out right now that work is just as much as human interaction than it is money. We are doing okay and my wife is starting to freak out. She misses her job so much.
This is completely unrelated (and also a mischaracterization of what I've said).Said the guy who argued multiple times that enough new wealth can be created so that having a few people hoard as much money as possible wouldn't actually hinder poor people....
It has been clear for many decades that producing enough food to feed the world (not staples, GOOD food) is not a problem, we can already do it. The issue is and always has been distribution networks and the sheer fact that many people in power inflict hunger on their own people ether to kill them, to control them, or because it's cheaper to throw food away than it is to give it to people in need (as is done in the US). Housing is in the same boat; we have more than enough housing to house all US residents and more than enough room to build additional housing if it was needed. We simply don't because we have a landed class that has a vested interest in keeping land prices up and keeping themselves from actually working.Wealth is not a zero sum quanta.
For all the wishful thinking about unicorn farts, power, food, housing, and resources are.
Ashburner has already said most of it, but I'm going to add that, while you are technically correct, as power, food, housing, and resources ARE indeed finite in quantity, we are not talking about their quantity, we are talking about their level of utilization. Total worldwide energy consumption, for instance, is significantly less than what we could generate with renewables even if you confined yourself to only solar and wind. Transmission might be an issue, yes, but you and I have already discussed that there will come a tipping point where renewable energy essentially becomes "free."For all the wishful thinking about unicorn farts, power, food, housing, and resources are.
That is why inflation is a thing.
So wealth isn't zero sum, but "power, food, housing, and resources are." ?This is completely unrelated (and also a mischaracterization of what I've said).
Wealth is not a zero sum quanta.
For all the wishful thinking about unicorn farts, power, food, housing, and resources are.
That is why inflation is a thing.
Just build robots to maintain the other robots. Then robots to design new robots to fill any other needs.somebody will have to maintain the robots.
I didn't mean transportation of goods and services, I meant transmission of power. Transportation of goods and services might as well just be a subset of energy production.I guess for this marvelous no-work utopia to come about, we need to add another thing to the list: Unlimited free energy, replicators, AND teleporters.
It sure is hard to foment any kind of progress when all your attention and time have to be devoted to your job/bills/debts or else you and/or your family will just... die.We could be doing less work now and have greater freedoms because of technological advances, but our landed class fear the worker class and use overwork to subjugate our political will.
Yeah, that.It doesn't have to be fucking Star Trek. It could end up being just better than now, by several degrees.
Along these lines, don't forget that many jobs are intentionally inefficient because it's easier to keep control over workers when they're forced to feign 40 hours of busywork.The issue is and always has been distribution networks and the sheer fact that many people in power inflict hunger on their own people ether to kill them, to control them, or because it's cheaper to throw food away than it is to give it to people in need
Yes. And more frequently doing things they enjoy/are good at.But people still work in Star Trek.
And Gold is measured in kg, doesn't actually make kilograms worth anything financially by themselves.Wealth can INCLUDE resources, but they aren't equivalent. Economics 101 - wealth is most certainly (and primarily) measured in money, and money is not finite, and can be generated without equivalent consumption.
That's the fun part, it doesn't have to be even half of workers... 20% unemployment is already a nightmare scenario when we're talking temporary shutdown due to a new virus. Imagine if it was permanent.And we're about as far away from robots replacing all workers as we are away from replicators.
Singularity aside, the people who are actually capable of learning that would make how much of the population?And even if that were to come to pass, somebody will have to maintain the robots.
Anything less and we're picking who has to work and who gets to be a parasite.But no, it has to be Fully Automated Luxury Communism or we shouldn't even try, apparently.
...Anything less and we're picking who has to work and who gets to be a parasite.
What would YOU call an entity that subsists entirely upon the efforts of others without contributing?...
The entire point of the article was to stop classifying people who don't work as parasites, especially once we reach the point where they don't actually have to work in order to make ends meet. But no, according to you if they don't produce anything tangible, they might as well be a millstone around the neck of the rest of Society, good for nothing more than food or fertilizer.
--Patrick
What if nobody has to work but anybody who wants to can work?What would YOU call an entity that subsists entirely upon the efforts of others without contributing?
No. If *anybody* has to work, *everybody* should have to work.
A landlord. Even if they do repairs and maintenance, they are still subsisting off of the work of others and using their tenant's funds to do things like pay for the repairs and maintenance of the property, all the while using tenants to pay off THEIR mortgage and acquiring equity. It's an entirely parasitic relationship and one of the reasons the current rent strikes are ongoing.What would YOU call an entity that subsists entirely upon the efforts of others without contributing?
No. If *anybody* has to work, *everybody* should have to work.
Me? Get MY hands dirty? Pshaw and harrumph! I'll hire another poor person to do that.Even if they do repairs and maintenance
Anybody who thinks being a landlord isn't work obviously has never been one. This argument is mere wealth envy. It's basically that Futurama hippie yelling up at farnsworth "you can't OWN property, man!"A landlord. Even if they do repairs and maintenance, they are still subsisting off of the work of others and using their tenant's funds to do things like pay for the repairs and maintenance of the property, all the while using tenants to pay off THEIR mortgage and acquiring equity. It's an entirely parasitic relationship and one of the reasons the current rent strikes are ongoing.
This is one of MANY such relationships we put up with already. Who decided they didn't have to work? Shouldn't they be out tilling the fucking soil?
If it's in a situation where if everybody chooses not to work, it all comes crashing down, it's not really a case where nobody "has" to work. Somebody does.What if nobody has to work but anybody who wants to can work?
When I hear about landlords with 25+ properties complaining that they don't know what do if their tenets strike because it's their only source of income, it's not wealthy envy. It's someone telling me that their "job" was collecting rent from somebody else. They didn't have to go to school for that. They didn't have to work hard for it. Being a landlord is so easy that you can literally become one overnight; it's the only "job" outside of being royalty you can inherit. It's better if a landlord has an actual job outside of collecting rent, but they are still complicit.Anybody who thinks being a landlord isn't work obviously has never been one. This argument is mere wealth envy. It's basically that Futurama hippie yelling up at farnsworth "you can't OWN property, man!"
Now, ARE there bad landlords that act like parasites? Sure. You'll find that in lots of professions.
I'm not saying we are there yet. Just wondering about your thoughts on a situation where work was truly optional.If it's in a situation where if everybody chooses not to work, it all comes crashing down, it's not really a case where nobody "has" to work. Somebody does.
Which explains how a certain orange thing got where they are.When I hear about landlords with 25+ properties complaining that they don't know what do if their tenets strike because it's their only source of income, it's not wealthy envy. It's someone telling me that their "job" was collecting rent from somebody else. They didn't have to go to school for that. They didn't have to work hard for it. Being a landlord is so easy that you can literally become one overnight; it's the only "job" outside of being royalty you can inherit. It's better if a landlord has an actual job outside of collecting rent, but they are still complicit.
...a child/infant?What would YOU call an entity that subsists entirely upon the efforts of others without contributing?
This may come as a shock to you, but I don’t believe it would be possible to put together any sizable group of people where everyone would choose not to work UNLESS the members of the group were preselected based on that specific criterion.If it's in a situation where if everybody chooses not to work, it all comes crashing down, it's not really a case where nobody "has" to work. Somebody does.
An unemployment rate of more then 0% gets the same result (unless you're ok with letting them die of hunger, i guess). What's your cut off point?Anything less and we're picking who has to work and who gets to be a parasite.
45!What would YOU call an entity that subsists entirely upon the efforts of others without contributing?
Gods forbid we only let people who enjoy the work (since, you know, building robots is already a hobby for a lot of people) do it, and allow them to be truly well compensated, because then some of the less worthy people won't be getting their just punishment of having to do stuff they don't like for food.No. If *anybody* has to work, *everybody* should have to work.
I mean, it's not for nothing that most arguments in favor of landlords go the way of saying they already worked hard to be able to purchase their properties, rather than saying they are working hard right now.Anybody who thinks being a landlord isn't work obviously has never been one. This argument is mere wealth envy. It's basically that Futurama hippie yelling up at farnsworth "you can't OWN property, man!"
Now, ARE there bad landlords that act like parasites? Sure. You'll find that in lots of professions.
Yes, and I do agree with wealth being gained through taking risk and working your ass off and all that - while I may think the degree of wealth gained by Bill Gates, I don't dispute that he was involved in a risky startup and worked really hard to make Microsoft/Windows/Office/etc into what they are today.(I do agree with your first line. But the wealth of people who start up companies, own factories or whatever is usually justified through risk, through innovation or sort of important decision-making. I don't really agree with that, but with landlords these apply even less.)
45 *was* the heir, then he lost Old Man Fred's gift 900 times over.45!
(Or, you know, an heir, if you want to be more inclusive!)
At this point, one would not have to worry about such BS as 'return on investment' to see what's out there/up there/down there/in there. Research could be done for the good of all existence, not to help the administration attract wealthy donors.For what it's worth, if I lived in a post-scarcity Star Trek society, I would never work again. I might attempt some creative endeavors, but generally speaking the vast majority of my time would be spent in holodecks enjoying certain special programs.
Yeah, the "heir" thing was an expansion of it, not an aside.45 *was* the heir, then he lost Old Man Fred's gift 900 times over.
Wanted to take another shot at both cheeto and daddy Fred.Yeah, the "heir" thing was an expansion of it, not an aside.
To kinda expand on this, while many people who would choose to work would be doing it for the reason you might most expect, that is: "I enjoy doing this so much that I'd do it even for little/no pay," there are also going to be those whose primary motivation would instead be, "Ugh, you're terrible at this. Step aside and let someone with more talent have a go," or "I feel duty-bound to do this thing, " or even "I enjoy the respect that doing this thing brings me (and/or my House)." What I'm saying is, Altruism is nowhere near the only motivation for working "for free."I doubt that even [GasBandit] would be able to sit at home and merely consume for weeks on end if your personal needs were otherwise met. Eventually you’d break down and mow the lawn or rearrange your rooms/furniture, all with no reward other than a feeling of accomplishment.
Hey getting a "Doing The Thing" rating from me is like some kind of award.You bet your ass I'm Doing The Thing Again, @PatrThom!
There's also the chance that a person who has to clean up a bathroom covered in shit from time to time will grow a little empathy and so be less likely himself to cover a bathroom in shit in a fit of pique.cleaning a bathroom covered in shit, or putting up with verbal abuse while serving burgers with a smile, are jobs that should be getting paid a lot more money than they are now.
Well, i wasn't... did i not make that clear enough?Are we just ignoring the fact that a basic income is just that, basic. Do you think that people aren't going to work for better stuff than they can afford on a baseline income?
You have, some other posters most definitely have not.Well, i wasn't... did i not make that clear enough?
Maybe you're onto something. In the 'post-work world', require everyone to take their turn at the 'dirty jobs', like the military service requirement in Starship Troopers. That will solve the "who will do those jobs" problem and maybe some people will learn a little empathy.There's also the chance that a person who has to clean up a bathroom covered in shit from time to time will grow a little empathy and so be less likely himself to cover a bathroom in shit in a fit of pique.
--Patrick
I've already referenced LeGuin's "The Kleggitch" once earlier in this thread.Maybe you're onto something. In the 'post-work world', require everyone to take their turn at the 'dirty jobs', like the military service requirement in Starship Troopers.
It's totally wealth envy. And also false equivalency, and anecdotal. So I feel content to rebut with something equally anecdotal. My grandfather is a landlord. While he was working, he bought a house here and there over the years and immediately rented them out. They continue to be his income now that he's retired. The thing a lot of people forget about being a landlord is that the landlord is on the hook for maintenance, not the tenant. Toilet breaks? Landlord. Sewer backs up? Landlord. Hot water heater dies? Landlord. AC? Landlord. Roof? Landlord.That's not wealth envy, it's utter contempt for an actual parasite on society.
Ha ha ha oh buddy you do NOT know meIn fact, I doubt that even YOU would be able to sit at home and merely consume for weeks on end if your personal needs were otherwise met.
The difference is, now we have unemployment insurance, which means you put in WHILE you're working, and get the benefits when you're not - but within a time limit. Granted, it's state-administered so it isn't ideal, but it's definitely not a straight choice between starving in the street and living on the dole forever.An unemployment rate of more then 0% gets the same result (unless you're ok with letting them die of hunger, i guess). What's your cut off point?
That's just it.. in my experience if you like something that much, chances are it's a hobby, not a job, and it's probably not one hiring a lot of people. Or we'd all be professional masturbators.Gods forbid we only let people who enjoy the work (since, you know, building robots is already a hobby for a lot of people) do it
And how is that any different from a savings account, or a treasury bond, or an IRA? And is providing and maintaining living space for people who can't yet afford to buy it not a service?Even if there is some work involved (which can be offloaded to someone else anyway) it certainly gets paid well above any other job, and with much flimsier meritocratic excuses than other absurdly well paying jobs. As a landlord you earn according to the wealth you have already accumulated (or received through inheritance), not according to any value you personally provide.
Regardless of what you think of the product or service, if someone is willing to pay for that service, it's not paid laziness. And for every well paid musician, there are literally millions who had no chance of making it.Also, the whole "everyone has to work" line is pretty much bunk, anyway: there are already thousands of people being paid - and paid well - to sing, play music, kick a ball, etc etc. The definition of what is or is not a job is flexible. What is or is not essential for society is flexible.
Heh, and I think more people are like you (and me) than would admit it, even to themselves. Scott Adams postulated that the holodeck will be humanity's last invention, and that we will die off within 2 generations of it becoming affordable to the common man.For what it's worth, if I lived in a post-scarcity Star Trek society, I would never work again. I might attempt some creative endeavors, but generally speaking the vast majority of my time would be spent in holodecks enjoying certain special programs.
But I think you're mostly fighting a strawman.It's totally wealth envy. And also false equivalency, and anecdotal. So I feel content to rebut with something equally anecdotal. My grandfather is a landlord. While he was working, he bought a house here and there over the years and immediately rented them out. They continue to be his income now that he's retired. The thing a lot of people forget about being a landlord is that the landlord is on the hook for maintenance, not the tenant. Toilet breaks? Landlord. Sewer backs up? Landlord. Hot water heater dies? Landlord. AC? Landlord. Roof? Landlord.
@PatrThom There's a difference between can't work and won't work.
Also:
Ha ha ha oh buddy you do NOT know me
The difference is, now we have unemployment insurance, which means you put in WHILE you're working, and get the benefits when you're not - but within a time limit. Granted, it's state-administered so it isn't ideal, but it's definitely not a straight choice between starving in the street and living on the dole forever.
That's just it.. in my experience if you like something that much, chances are it's a hobby, not a job, and it's probably not one hiring a lot of people. Or we'd all be professional masturbators.
And how is that any different from a savings account, or a treasury bond, or an IRA? And is providing and maintaining living space for people who can't yet afford to buy it not a service?
Regardless of what you think of the product or service, if someone is willing to pay for that service, it's not paid laziness. And for every well paid musician, there are literally millions who had no chance of making it.
Heh, and I think more people are like you (and me) than would admit it, even to themselves. Scott Adams postulated that the holodeck will be humanity's last invention, and that we will die off within 2 generations of it becoming affordable to the common man.
Look, this thread is becoming too much "GasBandit has to reply to a half dozen people" already, so tell you what, I'll just leave you guys to your utopian fantasies where nobody has to mop up vomit or plunge a toilet if they don't have an orgasm at the thought of a plumber's snake.
I address that very point, further down in my post.@PatrThom There's a difference between can't work and won't work.
Well, as a sort of thought exercise, I would like you to entertain the possibility that the world may not in fact be populated with 7+ billion GasBandits, intimating there may be a wiiiide range of what people consider "rewarding" and/or "fulfilling" beyond what you might select.Ha ha ha oh buddy you do NOT know me
Oh, but you can fold them.a crappy iPhone 11 that doesn't even fold properly.
He's more of a Social Darwinist type, I think. Which is great while you can ensure that there are still those who are beneath you, but not so great once they run out.Which tracts for most libertarians/conservatives I know
Between November 2017 and October 2018, people on basic income worked an average of 78 days, which was six days more than those on unemployment benefits.
There was a greater increase in employment for people in families with children, as well as those whose first language wasn’t Finnish or Swedish – but the researchers aren’t yet sure why.
When surveyed, people who received universal basic income instead of regular unemployment benefits reported better financial well-being, mental health and cognitive functioning, as well as higher levels of confidence in the future.
My wife, everybody:"I can't get away with slave wages and working conditions that make the Black Hole of Calcutta look like the Ritz anymore! I'm against it!"
Here is the link to the press release of the Finnish Social Insurance Institution regarding the UBI experiment.So we've got an answer to the original question posed here: Finland reported their findings, and not only did it not decrease incentive to work, but it over-all resulted in better finances and mental health:
Universal basic income seems to improve employment and well-being
Finland’s two-year test of universal basic income has concluded that it doesn't seem to disincentivise working, and improves recipients’ mental and financial well-beingwww.newscientist.com