I'm curious what challenges there are to this voting method?Instant-runoff has some major infrastructural challenges to implementation it would need to overcome, and if it goes full electronic then we need to be super careful about the integrity of the system.
For a national election with millions of voters, hand-count or punch-card voting systems are simply logistically incompatible with instant run-off (or any ranked vote variation, reallY). There's just no way you could make it work on a practical level.I'm curious what challenges there are to this voting method?
Then they're idiots, because that's the entire point of IRV. It gives minority viewpoints a voice. Kurt Wright may have had more citizens who wanted him as their first choice, but Bob Kiss has more of the population who wanted him to win over Wright (in some cases as a second/third choice). If Wright was liked by the majority of the population, then all those 2nd choice votes would have gone to him and he would have won easy-peasy. But if supporters of Andy Montroll, Dan Smith, and James Simpson didn't like Wright, then Wright is not representing the majority of the population. And by the results, is does look like the supporters of Montroll/Smith/Simpson preferred Kiss over Wright, so it worked exactly as it was supposed to that Kiss won. More people preferred Kiss over Wright to be mayor. Rather than scrapping IRV, they should have done an education campaign to explain how IRV gives more people representation they can agree with, or at least tolerate.I will, of course, point out that all voting systems are flawed once they have 3 or more potential choices. (Arrow's Impossibility Theorem)
You can only decide which flaw is the least terrible. In this case, you run into a couple of flaws with Instant Runoff Voting (IRV), most primary of which is that IRV has situations where the person who wins the election doesn't have a majority of total votes. This happened in the Oakland, California mayoral election of 2010. There is also the problem of the order in which candidates get eliminated and have their votes moved can affect the outcome of the final count and decide the winner. There other issues... it can violate Condorcent Winner Criterion and non-monotonicity (giving first place more first place votes can cause it to LOSE the election), both of which happened in the 2009 Burlington, Vermont mayoral election. They no longer use IRV BECAUSE of that election.
If your first choice is eliminated in the final round of voting...that's called an election? Somebody has to lose an election. I'm not sure why I'm supposed to feel sorry for someone who supports a candidate with a large support base as their first choice? It essentially turns into First Past the Post for them. Why does their ranking of other candidates matter? Their first choice made it to the final round. If the final round ends up being their First Choice vs. their Third Choice, and they actually wanted Third to win the final round, then they should have put him/her as their first choice. I'm not seeing the problem here. Your first choice should be the person who best represents you, the second choice should be the person who you have some disagreement with but you would be okay with them winning, third choice is the person you'll tolerate, and if you think a candidate is a total doucherocket then you don't even put them in your ranking so there is no possibility of them getting a vote from you.Of course, the single biggest issue with IRV is that the person voting has no idea how much of their list is actually going to be used. If your first choice is eliminated in the final round of voting, none of the other candidates you voted for mattered at all because your ranking of lower candidates will never be examined. You might as well have voted for no one EXCEPT your first choice because none of your other choices mattered and will have no bearing on the election.
At this time, we need IRV to break the stranglehold the Democrats and Republicans have on our election process and give other views a chance to be heard. The two major parties actively work together to make ballot access extremely difficult, if not outright impossible, for third parties. It's like the one thing they agree on. IRV removes the "spoiler" effect that people are afraid of. With IRV, they could feel confident in choosing a third party that best represents them as first choice, then putting their Major Party Lesser Evil as second choice. Even if their first choice doesn't win, the votes would still be recorded, and then we'd have an accurate picture of just how many people prefer third party policies over the Democrats/Republicans.This isn't to say that IRV doesn't have some advantages over simple plurality, because it does. But it has a whole host of it's own problems that matter just as much.
Reason they don't want it, right there.then we'd have an accurate picture of just how many people prefer third party policies over the Democrats/Republicans.
Normally I'd agree with you, but on the other hand, do you think the country would have benefited if Trump had had LESS opportunities to show his ass?Also, We need to cut down the time campaigns are allowed to do anything publicly. Give them a month or two of campaigning and that's IT. No more of this perpetual presidential campaigning.
Not only that but there is a huge first amendment problem to get around in order to implement something like that. I love the idea of it, though.Normally I'd agree with you, but on the other hand, do you think the country would have benefited if Trump had had LESS opportunities to show his ass?
I concede the point. In fact, I change my mind completely.Normally I'd agree with you, but on the other hand, do you think the country would have benefited if Trump had had LESS opportunities to show his ass?
Here's hoping you don't have cause to change it again when you find out that Trump has enough time to pull out a win.I concede the point. In fact, I change my mind completely.
In the first example, they didn't run an IRV. They did a form of ranked voting, but rather than eliminate the most-losing candidate and adjust everyone's rankings to remove that person, they started counting second votes, then third votes. I don't think we can conclude anything about IRV from that voting system.This isn't to say that IRV doesn't have some advantages over simple plurality, because it does. But it has a whole host of it's own problems that matter just as much.
Generally, yes.I might be misunderstanding something, but isn't STV in single-winner races functionally the exact same thing as IRV?
Yes, but if the final round of voting is your First Choice vs. your Last Choice, the rest of your list doesn't help support your 2nd/3rd/etc choices ether because of how IRV calculates votes. There could exist situations where doing so would actually help another candidate you'd prefer over the winner win the election instead. And, as I pointed out earlier, there also exist situations where voting for your top choice could actually cost them the election.If your first choice is eliminated in the final round of voting...that's called an election? Somebody has to lose an election. I'm not sure why I'm supposed to feel sorry for someone who supports a candidate with a large support base as their first choice? It essentially turns into First Past the Post for them. Why does their ranking of other candidates matter? Their first choice made it to the final round. If the final round ends up being their First Choice vs. their Third Choice, and they actually wanted Third to win the final round, then they should have put him/her as their first choice. I'm not seeing the problem here. Your first choice should be the person who best represents you, the second choice should be the person who you have some disagreement with but you would be okay with them winning, third choice is the person you'll tolerate, and if you think a candidate is a total doucherocket then you don't even put them in your ranking so there is no possibility of them getting a vote from you.
To be fair, I wasn't really TRYING to slam dunk IRV ether. It does have legitimate, important advantages over what we have now. I just wanted to point out that it does, like all voting systems, have inherent flaws since no one was really talking about them. That doesn't mean that it's not a better system for what we need it for, but it does mean that we need to be vigilant if we implement such a system.I don't think either situation is a slam dunk against IRV...
...And if it's sold as a way to increase diversity (ie, more women and minorities elected, not to mention third parties) then we may be able to convince the rest of the population that despite its warts, it's still better than the two party system the current election method enables.
I think we're talking about different systems of voting.Yes, but if the final round of voting is your First Choice vs. your Last Choice, the rest of your list doesn't help support your 2nd/3rd/etc choices ether because of how IRV calculates votes. There could exist situations where doing so would actually help another candidate you'd prefer over the winner win the election instead. And, as I pointed out earlier, there also exist situations where voting for your top choice could actually cost them the election.
The RangeVoting link is a bit poorly written (probably because the author notes it was heavily revised later). When they say "second" in that example they have at the top, they mean a second example that is a variant of the first where A-candidate voters who also like C-candidate are persuaded to vote C>A>B instead, not a second round of voting.In the non-monotonicity examples, they described candidate B being eliminated in the first round, but then winning in the second round. They also seem to be considering your entire list as a unique type of vote, as if voting A > B > C is different than voting for A > C > B. So A > B > C and A > C > B count separately in determining elimination in a round? This makes no sense to me. (I'm still not entirely sure of what I read there, it's in dense academic-speak. )
Why is it that even being brought up, because being persuaded to change your vote has nothing to do with IRV specifically. Trust me, I'm a third party voter who has spent twenty years being told I'm "wasting" my vote in a FPTP system. If a person makes the choice to be persuaded to vote for a candidate other than the person who best represents them, that's not the fault of IRV (or any voting system).The RangeVoting link is a bit poorly written (probably because the author notes it was heavily revised later). When they say "second" in that example they have at the top, they mean a second example that is a variant of the first where A-candidate voters who also like C-candidate are persuaded to vote C>A>B instead, not a second round of voting.
How can A-voters who preferred C be the only ones to change their vote preference? It's an automatic system. The A-voters who preferred B also got their second choice moved--to B--in the second round, and helped B win.The point of the example is that when you compare the two scenarios, C-candidate got more first-round votes in the second scenario, but actually lost the election to B-candidate, despite the fact that A-voters who preferred C-candidate to B-candidate are the only ones who changed their vote preference to rank C-candidate higher. In a single-winner election, this is the same process whether we're considering IRV or STV.
There's really no way to reasonably convince people to vote for your side second as a specific outcome unless you only intend to come in second. C would have been much better off trying to convince the B-voters who put C second to put C first than the A-voters who put them last.[DOUBLEPOST=1476401130,1476400973][/DOUBLEPOST]This is why Ash is saying he likes the Borda Count ranking method. This particular scenario we're talking about cannot happen with that method.If C wants to defeat B in the next election, then they just learned that they better start paying attention to A supporters to try to get their second choice vote. Which is why third party supporters like IRV!
I'm still not understanding what is meant by "voting for your preferred candidate and causing them to lose". How is that even possible? If your first choice passes a round, then your vote helped them move past that round and remains with them in the next rounds until they are eliminated or win. If your first choice gets eliminated, it's not your single vote that made them lose the round (you tried to help them win the round!) but the fact that they didn't have enough overall supporters and came in last place in the round and were eliminated, so your ballot then goes to your next choice.You're conflating the two scenarios with two rounds of ranked voting allocation.
The scenarios aren't the same instance of voting, they are separate instances of near-identical voting (think of the first scenario as polling and the second as the actual vote, if it helps), intended to how how both IRV and STV in single-winner elections a voter's bottom preference can win even because they, and only they, switched the rankings of their first two preferred candidates.
You're absolutely right that candidates need to make their case, and that IRV opens the door to 3rd-parties more. But it comes with an inescapable mathematical fact that you can vote for your preferred candidate, and cause that candidate to lose. Adopting IRV or STV for single-winner races means having to live with that.
Okay, let me work through this statement: "C would have been much better off trying to convince the B-voters who put C second to put C first than the A-voters who put them last."There's really no way to reasonably convince people to vote for your side second as a specific outcome unless you only intend to come in second. C would have been much better off trying to convince the B-voters who put C second to put C first than the A-voters who put them last.[DOUBLEPOST=1476401130,1476400973][/DOUBLEPOST]This is why Ash is saying he likes the Borda Count ranking method. This particular scenario we're talking about cannot happen with that method.
There's really no way to reasonably convince people to vote for your side second as a specific outcome unless you only intend to come in second.
That's not actually a winning strategy for the leader, though. That's more likely to get liberal voters in general to put Hillary second, and that is specifically counter to her goals. You can't actually message exclusively to Bernie supporters, even in our social media world. Otherwise, Trump would only be screaming his BS to his base, and be presenting a moderate face to everyone else.Sure there is. "Dear Bernie supporters, I understand you vote for him as #1, but please consider placing Hillary on #2 because anything but Trump". Same for a Republican candidate asking Libertarians to put him second because "still better than Clinton who wants to Make Government Great Again
Maybe in an America where the mindset is very strictly "us or the other guy". I assure you many politicians across many parties here spend a lot of time demonizing specific other parties here, towards everyone. The Green, Socialist and Social-Democrat parties might all be aiming for roughly the same voter and fighting viciously over their votes, they all agree that anything'd better than the nationalists. Of course, it helps if you know who your main voters are, and who are "side" voters who you might convince, and you're not, like American politicians, trying to somehow convince 50% of the people you're the best choice for them.That's not actually a winning strategy for the leader, though. That's more likely to get liberal voters in general to put Hillary second, and that is specifically counter to her goals. You can't actually message exclusively to Bernie supporters, even in our social media world. Otherwise, Trump would only be screaming his BS to his base, and be presenting a moderate face to everyone else.
Definitely. I'm just saying it's possible, not that it'd be easy or would work anywhere in any system.You guys also have a parliamentary system with multiple-winner elections where seat ownership is determined by party votes first, then individuals within that party, that puts a very different spin on the whole thing.
I think you mean it's a constitutional republic. Because being a republic says nothing about requiring changes to the constitution to change voting systems.It's a republic, so it can't be changed nationally without a constitutional convention,?
It's only really confusing for people who choose to be ignorant, with understanding made more difficult by a news media that promotes that ignorance for ratings and politicians eager to capitalize on it, since ignorant people are (seemingly) easier to manipulate.Or is ranked choice really too confusing for people?
I hardly think a Federal holiday on the day in which people engage in one of our most important civic duties is asking for too much. Fuck, switch it out with Columbus Day because that dog needs to be taken out and shot anyways.Just what we need, another federal holiday >_< You're KILLIN ME here!
An extra free day could influence the way people decide to spend it. Unless you go full down-under and make voting mandatory or a fine, the weekend is safer.I'm in favor of keeping it off weekends, but as a national holiday.
Putting the day on a weekend might disproportionately affect lower-income households with jobs that call for weekend hours. We all know that people are supposed to be able to take the day to vote, but we also all know that businesses pressure employees into taking as little time off as possible. If the intent of changing the day is to make it easier for the population at large to vote, then a National Holiday and more early voting options is the way to go.An extra free day could influence the way people decide to spend it. Unless you go full down-under and make voting mandatory or a fine, the weekend is safer.
There is only one state in which you cannot request time off work to vote: Washington, which abolished the laws when it went mail-in voting.I think making it a holiday wouldn't help. Those same people who can't vote because they have to work would still be working. They'd probably have to get time and a half, but most of those types of jobs don't close on federal holidays. Voting on weekends is the same deal, people with those low income jobs still work on weekends.
Some of them are paid, but it's more likely that people have to take unpaid time off, which, again, is not something everyone can afford to do. Can't be fired is one thing, losing a days pay is another. In areas where it can literally take all day standing in line to vote (which is more a trend in states that don't have early voting), there is also more to worry about than just your job, such as whether or not you can easily take kids to the poll with you. Extending time allowed to vote will at the very least allow less excuses for not voting.There is only one state in which you cannot request time off work to vote: Washington, which abolished the laws when it went mail-in voting.
Election Day is a legal holiday in Puerto Rico. Most people get it off, those who do not are still given time to vote because employers are required to make shifts that allow it.
20 states do not have a specific law regarding being able to take time off to vote but I'd imagine it would be a tough fight to defend firing someone for voting. You're more likely to set precedent in your state to require you allow it then defend your right to fire someone for voting.
Every other state makes provisions that you can at least request time off to vote, usually giving you 1-3 hours to do it, and cannot be fired for doing it. Sometimes these hours are even paid.
So make it a weekend holiday then. Way less shops to close on weekends.Putting the day on a weekend might disproportionately affect lower-income households with jobs that call for weekend hours. We all know that people are supposed to be able to take the day to vote, but we also all know that businesses pressure employees into taking as little time off as possible. If the intent of changing the day is to make it easier for the population at large to vote, then a National Holiday and more early voting options is the way to go.
There you go.make it a whole week where you can vote instead of just 1 day
I had assumed the votes themselves would not be unsealed/counted until that last day, to avoid this very thing.Week long voting though? Imagine Election Day with exit poll returns called out throughout the week, and as one side finds its losing they muster the electorate and continue to visit states and crest ever more vile rhetoric...
Do mail in ballots if you must, but let's have the polls/deadline happen in one day.
Exit polls probably would not be. Two days before the end of the election news organizations will be calling some states for one candidate or another, despite complete lack of actual poll returns.I had assumed the votes themselves would not be unsealed/counted until that last day, to avoid this very thing.
--Patrick
Exactly. make early voting more accessible so that way we have a week or two window to vote.I think making it a holiday wouldn't help. Those same people who can't vote because they have to work would still be working. They'd probably have to get time and a half, but most of those types of jobs don't close on federal holidays. Voting on weekends is the same deal, people with those low income jobs still work on weekends.