[Contest] Guess the date of Trump's Impeachment!
- Thread starter Dave
- Start date
This is exactly how I see it to the point that I suggested to my wife last night he would fake a health condition to get out of this if need be. It's the one way out where he can save face.I think it's actually more likely that he will resign becausebeing president is no fun and a lot of workhealth reasons and again Republicans will praise him for being so brave to step down. And we get president Mike Pence.
Like that time he was filmed out jogging?
Wait, that was Carter, Bush, Clinton, Bush, and Obama (though he played more basketball.)
Sure, but that was before getting elected. He said nothing about not getting sick after.
GasBandit
Staff member
I'm not sure I follow how Bulworth is comperable here. Bulworth took out a hit on himself... I'm not sure Trump would go THAT far.
Well, I guess, yeah, he also "told it like it is," in that he dropped the facade that the Democrat party cares the tiniest shred about anything the black community actually wants or needs...
Dude. Read the rules. This contest closes at the next election
Ah, I thought it was his full run. Man, then I really don't think he'll be impeached. OK, in that case, a few weeks after the midterm elections.
Assuming that there is no rhyme or reason to the dates that Congresses choose to impeach on (e.g. lack of things like "never impeach on a Friday"), he has a P(A*1/2,923) chance of winning and P(1-A) of losing, with A being the probability that Trump will be impeached, whatever that is estimated to be (for example, PredictIt has a market for the next POTUS being impeached in the first 100 days of office, currently sitting at 5%, which seems pretty overpriced).
BananaHands
Staff member
March 3rd, 2018.
It'll be the universe's birthday present to me.
It'll be the universe's birthday present to me.
October 16, 2019
I want to say Dec 31st, 2019. By the Republicans so that they can simultaneously say that they allowed Trump his full term and that they removed him from office. Pandering to both sides of the issue at the same time.
But, my actual guess will be: April 20th, 2018. Coincidentally Hitler's birthday, but done so Republicans can run midterm election campaigns on "We Stopped Trump."
But, my actual guess will be: April 20th, 2018. Coincidentally Hitler's birthday, but done so Republicans can run midterm election campaigns on "We Stopped Trump."
Did Mueller get the vast majority of republicans out of congress?
But for me, it was
I knew I'd chosen 10/27, I just couldn't remember which year.
Ah, well.
--Patrick
3-Feb-2017 - Gared
8-Feb-2017 - Bert
3-Aug-2017 - Null
28-Sep-2017 - Dave
27-Oct-2017 - PatrThom
1-Dec-2017 - Denbrought
22-Jan-2018 - Frank
Today - 35% of the guesses have passed.
3-Mar-2018 - BananaHands
20-Apr-2018 - General Specific
15-May-2018 - blotsfan
1-Jun-2018 - Zero Esc
10-Oct-2018 - Gasbandit
5-Nov-2018 - Eriol
18-Dec-2018 - Siska
29-Jan-2019 - Sparhawk
30-Jan-2019 - Timmus
9-Aug-2019 - jwhouk
17-Aug-2019 - Gruebeard
16-Oct-2019 - MindDetective
(per the rules I've removed guesses beyond this term)
8-Feb-2017 - Bert
3-Aug-2017 - Null
28-Sep-2017 - Dave
27-Oct-2017 - PatrThom
1-Dec-2017 - Denbrought
22-Jan-2018 - Frank
Today - 35% of the guesses have passed.
3-Mar-2018 - BananaHands
20-Apr-2018 - General Specific
15-May-2018 - blotsfan
1-Jun-2018 - Zero Esc
10-Oct-2018 - Gasbandit
5-Nov-2018 - Eriol
18-Dec-2018 - Siska
29-Jan-2019 - Sparhawk
30-Jan-2019 - Timmus
9-Aug-2019 - jwhouk
17-Aug-2019 - Gruebeard
16-Oct-2019 - MindDetective
(per the rules I've removed guesses beyond this term)
I'm in it for the long haul!
Don't bump this thread on false alarm!