Weird weather

MindDetective

MindDetective

The biggest fire going on right now, which is probably the one decorating my car, is the Chetco Bar fire, which has burned for almost 2 months and has consumed or is consuming more than 140,000 acres (roughly 220 square miles of land). I am not a forest manager, but I suspect the very wet winter followed by the very dry summer, thunderstorms, and high heat has made conditions ideal for fires all up and down the west coast. The last I heard, we are expecting the Rogue Valley where I live to be filled with smoke through all of September and into October. It is basically a giant bowl for smoke to pour into here. I cannot even see the mountains on the other side of the valley some days. Fortunately I am in a pretty safe place and have not seen any fires myself. But outside is not a place fit for people right now.
 
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Dave

Dave

Staff member
Weird. I saw a couple models that took Irma's track right into Texas. Which would be devastatingly bad.
 
Terrik

Terrik

I suppose for our neck of the woods, the best (worst) case scenario is that it hits the SE corner and weakens as it moves across.
 
evilmike

evilmike

Dave said:
Weird. I saw a couple models that took Irma's track right into Texas. Which would be devastatingly bad.
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Irma is a bit too far out to call a shot at Texas yet. Heck, it's a still little too far out to call a hit on Florida.

That being said (NHC):

A trough of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers activity and gusty winds. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for slow development, and this system could become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it meanders over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
​


PatrThom said:
This says we might not hear from @Terrik or @Ravenpoe for a bit.

--Patrick
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I think we'll have a better picture tomorrow. Unfortunately, Irma is going to go far enough west that it's going to be someone's problem (not just Gulf states, but also most of the Greater Antilles.)

Right now, @Ravenpoe has a 8% chance of storm force winds. @Terrik is at ~18%.
 
Eriol

Eriol

Dave said:
The newest possible tracks is now not even featuring Texas.


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Neat graphic. I like.

Secondly, except for the fact that I have friends in the area, I kinda want that thing to trend north and go through Washington. All the hot air would fuel the storm even more!
 
Dave

Dave

Staff member
I hope it goes back out to sea, but there's one track that would take it right over New Orleans. Ouch.
 
blotsfan

blotsfan

I have a friend going to school in Antigua. Thankfully he was able to make it on a flight back to the US but it basically sounds like everything on the Island is gonna be destroyed.
 
Celt Z

Celt Z

I'm glad your friend is okay. That hug is for Antigua, since we dont have a "Sad" rating. Those poor people.
 
figmentPez

figmentPez

Staff member
The other day I was talking with a friend about how the possibility of another storm hitting Texas was like the recent trend for horror movies to use creepy versions of children's songs.

Rain, rain, go away.... Come again, some other day!.... *violin screech*
 
fade

fade

Staff member
figmentPez said:
The other day I was talking with a friend about how the possibility of another storm hitting Texas was like the recent trend for horror movies to use creepy versions of children's songs.

Rain, rain, go away.... Come again, some other day!.... *violin screech*
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"Yep, that's me. A lowly category 2 hurricane. You might be wondering how I ended up in this situation...."
 
Sparhawk

Sparhawk

The cold front that is going to deflect Irma to the east is passing through right now, this is much worse storm wise than Harvey was. Harvey was rain, lots of it (over 13 inches here), but this is lightning and high winds, this has the potential to knock over trees that have had the ground soaked around them.
 
Sparhawk

Sparhawk

PatrThom said:
You know, I never thought about how they could team up.

--Patrick
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We had Rita and Ike come through here a few years back. It wasn't the "front" of the storm that got us, it was when the center passed and the wind changed directions from out of the south to out of the north.
 
fade

fade

Staff member
The cold front passed over us relatively mildly. There was a storm, but it was pretty tame. The fall temperatures this morning are nice though.
 
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