Gas Bandit's Political Thread V: The Vampire Likes Bats
- Thread starter GasBandit
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GasBandit
Staff member
GasBandit
Staff member
Turns out those 7.8% numbers also were based on one state not reporting its numbers for the week. That state? California. Hrmm.. think maybe that had something to do with the rate going down?
Oh shit, those aren't miniatures! My bad.
GasBandit
Staff member
Posting on a saturday when you should know better!
Epic Rap Battles of History tackles the upcoming Presidential election.
Edited for Spoilers
Edited for Spoilers
North_Ranger
Staff member
Dude! Spoilers!
Edited for spoilers, because apparently a funny little video of less than 4 minutes needs a spoiler tag now.
North_Ranger
Staff member
If you spoil the surprise/the twist ending/the sudden revelation, it's a spoiler.
Except it's not, because ERBOH does it all the time. I get your point, but if your familiar with the series, it wouldn't have been surprising at all. I didn't mark it a spoiler because, to me, it wasn't a spoiler at all.
GasBandit
Staff member
This one's going out to Gilgamesh - President Obama's clinched the crucial Honey Boo Boo endorsement.
This just in - 7 year old says she supports the only presidential candidate she's heard of after late night talk show host tells her that the other guy doesn't like her. in other news, I have convinced my cousin's 7 year old to support Obama based on their agreement on the importance of Spider-Man.
GasBandit
Staff member
This happens every time they need to do a levy here in the South Western City Schools district (the one my mother works for). It's basically the only way they can raise money for other things... and this was a district that suffered through split sessions for a year because no one was willing to pass a levy to build more schools.
Even then it only happened because it made practicing for extracurricular stuff a pain in the ass for everyone involved. You ether had to practice at 5 am, 7pm, or call off a class of the second session and do it from 1-2PM.
GasBandit
Staff member
Two colorado professors developed an "Electoral College Predictor" which uses economic data and they say has accurately called every election since 1980. It says there's a 77% chance of a Romney victory.
Kind of like how the Vegas numbers are never wrong and have called every election.
And etc etc are never wrong and have called every election.
(Case in point) http://eatocracy.cnn.com/2012/10/02/7-eleven-election/
And they are all conflicting on who will win this year?
Yeah, grain of salt on prediction machines.
And etc etc are never wrong and have called every election.
(Case in point) http://eatocracy.cnn.com/2012/10/02/7-eleven-election/
And they are all conflicting on who will win this year?
Yeah, grain of salt on prediction machines.
That's only five presidents. Not exactly a huge pile of results.
Each election, not each president. Nevertheless, the dataset is still very small. Unless every election means EVERY election, not just every presidential election. That doesn't seem to be the case, though.
Polls generally are just noise (especially since there are so many we tend to pick and choose the ones we like to support our own biases). For an election forecast, I generally follow Nate Silver's New York Times blog.
http://notlarrysabato.typepad.com/d...ught-destroying-voter-registration-forms.html
And here.... we..... goooooooooo.
And here.... we..... goooooooooo.
Remember when there was a national scandal and tons of outrage because some lazy asses hired by ACORN (which had no official tie to the Democrats) faked some voter registrations, which ACORN then flagged as most likely false before passing them along to the relevant government authorities as required by federal law in what should have been a complete non-story? How much do you want to bet that someone affiliated with an official contractor of the Republican Party actually attempting to illegally destroy voter registrations won't garner nearly as much attention?