Gas Bandit's Political Thread V: The Vampire Likes Bats

I believe Candace Owens will say anything that she thinks will bring in the most suckers. Straight grifter through and through.
Considering she started as a liberal bashing the tea party and Trump, it's pretty obvious she just goes where the money is.

 
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Considering she started as a liberal bashing the tea party and Trump, it's pretty obvious she just goes where the money is.

Oh hey, internet archive has the article being quoted. After reading this, I don't think Candace Owens's first website died because of her political leanings (though she doesn't seem to have very strong convictions there) but because she was just shit at writing.

 
Kier Starmer is the new UK PM. With just 2 seats left to declare Labour are on 412, Tories on 121 (their worst ever result in a General Election), & Lib Dems on 71. SNP decimated in Scotland going from 48 seats won at the last election to 9 seats!
 
The results are mostly ok (fuck that transphobe Starmer though) but one alarming thing is how badly it reminds me of Alberta's election where the NDP crushed the Conservatives. Labour didn't magically get all of Britain to vote for them, Reform hammered the Conservatives numbers bad.
 
Yep. Labour numbers rose, but nothing like what the seat redistribution might imply.
If the UK didn't use a single-seat FPTP system, the parliament distribution would be VERY different
 
The results are mostly ok (fuck that transphobe Starmer though) but one alarming thing is how badly it reminds me of Alberta's election where the NDP crushed the Conservatives. Labour didn't magically get all of Britain to vote for them, Reform hammered the Conservatives numbers bad.
Yeah, the Labour share of the vote only increased by 1.6% compared to last time - & that's pretty much down to Scottish votes where the SNP troubles saw their support absolutely plummet off a cliff & Labour's vote share there increased by 17%.

As for Reform, yeah there were over 100 seats where the Tories lost (almost all of them to Labour) but the combined Tory/Reform vote would have been enough for a win & Reform were happily admitting before the election that they were specifically targeting Conservative voters. So Labour would probably still be the largest party without Reform in play but without an overall majority.
 

GasBandit

Staff member
But hey, at least one of the four Reform UK seats won was Nigel Farage, so we can look forward to some entertaining buffoonery theater.
 
Project 2025 is full of some real dire shit eh? Nazi Germany wasn't as prohibitively oppressive.

Outlawing and imprisoning of all pornographers (which includes all transfolk because apparently their existence is pornographic and child exploitative).
The obliteration of worker's rights.
The obliteration of women's rights right down to the right to self-determination.
The obliteration of any regulation whatsoever and the wholesale vending of all public land to the private sector for exploitation.
Reclaiming what rightfully belongs to America (Native land)
Literal persecution of single mothers, excluding them from any kind of social programs (that remain since most of them are to be axed immediately)
Full scale deployment of the military for any kind of un-American activity.

1720298249729.jpeg


It's 900 pages long and out in the open.
 
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Meanwhile in France, polls estimated the far right would sweep through voting and win the majority. Voters, on the other hand, disagreed:

 
The reason polls seem to always get it wrong these days is because they still do it through mostly cold calls. A Millennial or Gen Z isn't going to answer a strange number, but a lot of boomers will.

Almost every election often comes down to "Did the young people show up?" And you can't reliably poll that. France is just more proof of that.

Either way, ever since the Supreme Court President Immunity decision and Project 2025 finally getting brought into the spotlight more and more, Biden's polls have been improving. He is leading in many swing states and even the ones he is not in the lead are mostly tied.

This isn't to get complacent, and gods know the fact he is tied with a convicted felon is already a travesty, but this place gets so gloomy and defeatist and I wanted to bring some light that there is some good news.
 
The reason polls seem to always get it wrong these days is because they still do it through mostly cold calls. A Millennial or Gen Z isn't going to answer a strange number, but a lot of boomers will.

Almost every election often comes down to "Did the young people show up?" And you can't reliably poll that. France is just more proof of that.

Either way, ever since the Supreme Court President Immunity decision and Project 2025 finally getting brought into the spotlight more and more, Biden's polls have been improving. He is leading in many swing states and even the ones he is not in the lead are mostly tied.

This isn't to get complacent, and gods know the fact he is tied with a convicted felon is already a travesty, but this place gets so gloomy and defeatist and I wanted to bring some light that there is some good news.
Polling firms do adjust for this bias statistically. That said, the more you have to try and adjust due to missing data, the higher your margin of error gets.
 
I love this guy. Simple, down to earth, and not afraid to point out who the real enemy is. I can't believe he has lived this long.
 

GasBandit

Staff member
Biden told congressional Democrats that he was committed to “running this race to the end” and that it’s time to “end” the pressure on him drop out. Following mounting concern over his poor debate performance, Biden wrote in the two-page letter that “the question of how to move forward has been well-aired for over a week now. And it’s time for it to end,” saying that as a party “We have one job. And that is to beat Donald Trump.” He added that he’s had “extensive conversations” with party leadership, members, and voters over the past 10 days. “Any weakening of resolve or lack of clarity about the task ahead only helps Trump and hurts us,” Biden concluded. “It is time to come together, move forward as a unified party, and defeat Donald Trump.” Biden also made an unscheduled call-in appearance on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” and dared Democratic “elites” who’ve called for him to drop out of the race to “challenge [him]” at next month’s Democratic convention in Chicago. “I’m getting frustrated by the elites […] in the party,” he said. “If any of these guys don’t think I should run, run against me. Announce for president […] I am not going anywhere.” And, later in the day, Biden told donors that he’s “done talking about the debate [..] We need to move forward. Look, we have roughly 40 days til the convention, 120 days til the election. We can’t waste any more time being distracted.” Meanwhile, less than 24 hours earlier, four senior Democrats said on a private call with House party leadership that Biden should step aside. (Associated Press / Axios / Politico / NPR / New York Times / Washington Post / ABC News / NBC News / CNN / Bloomberg / Semafor / Wall Street Journal)
  • Read: The letter Biden sent to House Democrats telling them to support him in the election. (Associated Press)
 

GasBandit

Staff member
1/ Biden’s physician, Dr. Kevin O’Connor, confirmed that Dr. Kevin Cannard, the Parkinson’s expert who visited the White House eight times, “was the neurological specialist that examined President Biden for each of his annual physicals.” O’Connor, after obtaining permission from Biden and Cannard, shared publicly that Biden had a physical in February and that he showed no signs of any neurological disorder, including Parkinson’s disease. Biden has not seen a neurologist outside his annual physicals. Yesterday, the White House refused to identify Cannard nor say if he ever treated Biden or consulted on his care due to privacy reasons, despite public White House visitor logs showing Cannard had visited the White House eight times over an eight-month span between last July and March of this year. (ABC News / Axios / The Guardian / NBC News)


2/ The Republican Party abandoned its explicit endorsement of a national ban on abortion for the first time in 40 years. Instead, the party adopted Trump’s leave-it-to-the-states approach on abortion and same-sex marriage in an attempt to de-emphasize the issues, which have consistently been unpopular in public polling. Overall, the new Republican Party platform leans into Trump’s preferred “America First” stances: Republicans “will oppose Late Term Abortion while supporting mothers and policies that advance Prenatal Care, access to Birth Control, and IVF (fertility treatments)”; there is no longer a reference to “traditional marriage” as between “one man and one woman”; instead of reducing the national debt, the platform calls to “end inflation” by “slashing wasteful government spending” to “Make America Affordable Again”; and calls for ending “the weaponization of government against the American people.” (Associated Press / Politico / NPR / New York Times / Washington Post / NBC News / ABC News / CNN)


3/ Trump attempted to distance himself from the conservative “Project 2025” playbook that was spearheaded by the Heritage Foundation and numerous former Trump administration officials, and backed by more than 110 conservative groups. The 922-page document is a sort of wish list for the first 180 days of the “next conservative administration,” that includes further restrictions on abortion access, “dismantling the administrative state” and replacing thousands of federal employees with ideological loyalists. “I know nothing about Project 2025,” Trump claimed. “I have no idea who is behind it. I disagree with some of the things they’re saying and some of the things they’re saying are absolutely ridiculous and abysmal.” Trump’s disavowal comes two days after Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts told Steve Bannon that “[W]e are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the left allows it to be.” Roberts added that “the radical left” was “apoplectic” because “our side is winning.” (ABC News / Axios / HuffPost / Wall Street Journal / Semafor / Rolling Stone / Washington Post / Daily Beast / CNN / Business Insider / Associated Press / Bloomberg / The Guardian / The Intercept)


4/ An Oklahoma man who falsely claimed that climate change is “the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people” is dead at 89. Former Republican Sen. Jim Inhofe once argued that it was hubristic for humans to claim that burning fossil fuels could alter the divinely ordained natural climate cycles. So in a February 2015 stunt, Inhofe brought a snowball onto the Senate floor to falsely argue against the existence of climate change. [Editor’s note: ✌] (Politico / Associated Press)


poll/ 61% of Americans say their state should allow a person to obtain an abortion if they don’t want to be pregnant for any reason – up from 49% in June 2021, a year before the Supreme Court overturned the constitutional right to an abortion. (Associated Press)
 
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